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AFL

Nate Caddy

Essendon

+8.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -833 (1.12)
+8.3% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 13 Jun, 3:15AM
Model Probability
97.5%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+8.3%
Predicted Value
2.1 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Nate Caddy (Essendon) Over 0.5 Goals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to putting money on a player snagging a goal, Nate Caddy is looking like a prime pick for the upcoming clash against Melbourne Demons. In his last five away games, he's been on fire, averaging a solid 2.2 goals per match, showcasing his ability to consistently split the middle. Caddy isn't just a one-trick pony either; he's been involved in the play, with an average of 6.2 score involvements per game. With a sharp eye for the big sticks, hitting the target over half the time, and boasting a current hit streak of 7 goals in away games, Caddy is a reliable goal-scoring machine. Facing off against Melbourne, where he's managed to bag at least one goal per game on average in their last five encounters, the odds are in Caddy's favor to keep his scoring streak alive. Betting on him to go over 0.5 goals seems like a safe bet given his recent form and consistent performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Goals 0.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 0.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Goals Pending
25 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Essendon Bombers Goals Pending

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About This Player

Nate Caddy (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Nate Caddy is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 13 June at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.