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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nate Caddy is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 89%, for a model edge of +5.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:39PM UTC
AFL

Nate Caddy

Essendon

+5.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -833 (1.12) · $100→$112
+5.3% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
94.6%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+5.3%
Predicted Value
1.8 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals94.6%89.3%1.06+5.3%

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AI Analysis

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Nate Caddy (Essendon) Over 0.5 Goals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Nate Caddy. This Saturday, when Essendon takes on Geelong at GMHBA Stadium, Caddy is poised to make waves. Over his last five away games, he's been on fire, averaging 2 goals per match, with a stellar goal accuracy of 56.3%. His involvement in creating scoring opportunities is impressive, with an average of 5.8 score involvements. Plus, he's been getting plenty of shots at goal, averaging 3.6 per game. Facing Geelong, a team he's had success against recently, there's a solid chance Caddy will snag at least one goal. With his current hot streak of 11 consecutive hits in away games and a stellar overall hit rate, the data points to Caddy making an impact on the scoreboard. Betting on Nate Caddy to score over 0.5 goals? It's a smart play backed by the numbers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.9avg goals recent
Season best3
Goals last 10avg 0.9 · hi 3 · lo 0
0210201300

Nate Caddy has a goals high of 3 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Essendon Bombers @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Essendon Bombers @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Essendon Bombers Goals Pending
13 Jun 26 Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending
13 Jun 26 Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending

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About This Player

Nate Caddy (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nate Caddy is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.3% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 8 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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