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AFL

Andrew McGrath

Essendon

+7.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -769 (1.13)
+7.1% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 5 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
95.6%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+7.1%
Predicted Value
25.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Andrew McGrath (Essendon) Over 16.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Andrew McGrath is a prime target for the 'Disposals Over' prop bet against the Western Bulldogs. In his last 5 away matches, McGrath has been a midfield maestro, averaging a stellar 22.6 disposals. Facing the Bulldogs, a team he typically notches 21 disposals against, McGrath's form is red hot. With a current hit streak of 7 away games and an overall hit streak of 11, McGrath is a model of consistency. His ability to find space, maintain a high disposal efficiency of 74.5%, and cover the ground with an average of 273.6 meters gained per game make him a reliable choice to surpass the 16.5 disposals line. Bet confidently on McGrath to lead Essendon's midfield charge and rack up the possessions in this crucial clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 100.0% (10/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 16.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 17.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 18.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Andrew McGrath (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (10/10). The latest model pick for Andrew McGrath is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.1% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Western Bulldogs on Sunday 5 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.