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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dyson Sharp is Under 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 50%, implied 53%, edge +18.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 2:13PM UTC
AFL

Dyson Sharp

Essendon

+18.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 22.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
+18.2% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 2:20AM
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
19.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.7% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +18.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.7%49.6%53.5%2.01+18.2%

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AI Analysis

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Dyson Sharp (Essendon) Under 22.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Essendon's Dyson Sharp, the numbers tell a clear story for this weekend's clash against Port Adelaide. Sharp has been a consistent performer, but recent trends suggest he might fall just short of the 22.5 disposal line. Over his last 5 home games, he's averaged 20.6 disposals, with a solid contested possessions average of 8.2. However, facing Port Adelaide, he's had a slightly lower average of 5 disposals in their previous encounters. With his disposal efficiency at 73.6% in recent home games, Sharp is efficient but may not see the volume needed to breach the 22.5 mark against a tough opponent. Considering his current form and matchup history, backing Sharp to stay under 22.5 disposals could be a smart move for this game at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Dyson Sharp - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 22.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Dyson Sharp (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dyson Sharp is Under 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.2% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 23 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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