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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dyson Sharp is Under 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 53%, edge +19.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 21, 12:33PM UTC
AFL

Dyson Sharp

Essendon

+19.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 22.5 -111 (1.90) · $100→$190
+19.1% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 2:20AM
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
19.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.7% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap +19.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.7%52.6%1.39+19.1%

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AI Analysis

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Dyson Sharp (Essendon) Under 22.5 Disposals (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Dyson Sharp's recent form, it's clear he's been a pivotal figure in Essendon's midfield. However, his home ground averages of 20.6 disposals over the last five games, while impressive, fall short of the 22.5 line set by sportsbet. Against Port Adelaide, who have limited him to just 5 disposals on average in their recent encounters, Sharp might face a tough challenge. His disposal efficiency of 73.6% and ability to gain meters (224.4 on average) are commendable, but Port's tight defense could disrupt his flow. With Sharp's turnovers averaging 3.6 per game, there's a risk of him being forced into errors under pressure. Considering these factors, backing Sharp to stay below 22.5 disposals seems like a prudent play to make on this footy clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Dyson Sharp has cleared 16.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o16.590%
o17.560%
o19.560%
o21.540%
o23.510%
o24.510%
o26.510%
o28.50%
o30.50%
o31.50%
o33.50%
o35.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Dyson Sharp is averaging 23.0 disposals per game over his last 5.

23.0
Disp · Overall
0.2
Goals · Overall
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Dyson Sharp (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dyson Sharp is Under 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.1% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 23 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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