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AFL

Dyson Sharp

Essendon

Value call

Dyson Sharp (Essendon) has one live pick today: under 22.5 disposals that pays $190 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
19.6 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.0% · before adjusting for past results 71.7% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap -3.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 12:20 PM AEST
Dyson Sharp
under 22.5 disposals
Disposals Under 22.5 -111 (1.90) · $100→$190
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.00 Odds-111
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dyson Sharp is Under 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:00PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.7%49.0%52.6%2.04+19.1%

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AI Analysis

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Dyson Sharp (Essendon) Under 22.5 Disposals (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Dyson Sharp's recent form, it's clear he's been a pivotal figure in Essendon's midfield. However, his home ground averages of 20.6 disposals over the last five games, while impressive, fall short of the 22.5 line set by sportsbet. Against Port Adelaide, who have limited him to just 5 disposals on average in their recent encounters, Sharp might face a tough challenge. His disposal efficiency of 73.6% and ability to gain meters (224.4 on average) are commendable, but Port's tight defense could disrupt his flow. With Sharp's turnovers averaging 3.6 per game, there's a risk of him being forced into errors under pressure. Considering these factors, backing Sharp to stay below 22.5 disposals seems like a prudent play to make on this footy clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Dyson Sharp - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 22.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Dyson Sharp (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dyson Sharp is Under 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.1% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 23 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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