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Jade Gresham

Essendon

+9.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -164 (1.61)
+9.3% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 5 Jul, 2:35AM
Model Probability
71.4%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+9.3%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jade Gresham (Essendon) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jade Gresham is a strong bet to score anytime in the Essendon vs. Gold Coast matchup due to his recent form. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 games and a 36.7% goal accuracy at home, he consistently threatens the opposition's defense. Gresham's involvement, averaging 5.2 score involvements, and proficiency in getting shots at goal (1.6) make him a reliable forward. Facing Gold Coast, against whom he has scored an average of 0.7 goals in his last 5 home games, Gresham's offensive impact is poised to continue. With a model prediction of 0.9 goals and a solid 9.3% edge, betting on Gresham to snag a goal is a statistically supported choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Essendon Bombers Goals 0.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
19 Jun 25 Essendon Bombers @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -111 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jade Gresham (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (2/2). The latest model pick for Jade Gresham is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Essendon Bombers on Saturday 5 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.