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AFL

Jade Gresham

Essendon

+0.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -357 (1.28)
+0.1% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Sat 18 Apr, 3:15AM
Model Probability
78.2%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
14.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jade Gresham (Essendon) Over 10.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jade Gresham is set to make waves away from home against the Gold Coast Suns. In his last five away games, he's been a midfield maestro, averaging a hefty 15.6 disposals, well above the 10.5 line. His recent form against the Suns is also impressive, with a solid average of 17.5 disposals. Gresham's ability to find the footy is backed by his exceptional disposal efficiency of 66.6%. With a knack for clean possessions and strong metrics in contested possessions and intercepts, Gresham is poised to dominate the midfield battle. His current hit streak of 3 away games and an overall streak of 9 highlight his consistency – a key factor in backing him to surpass 10.5 disposals. Expect Gresham to thrive in this clash and rack up the possessions needed to secure the Over.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 100.0% (4/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 10.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 11.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 9.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Essendon Bombers Goals Pending

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About This Player

Jade Gresham (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (4/4). The latest model pick for Jade Gresham is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 18 April at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.