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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Daicos is Over 104.5 on Fantasy.
On Fantasy, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 62%, implied 74%, edge +0.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:36PM UTC
AFL

Nick Daicos

Collingwood

+0.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Fantasy Over 104.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
+0.5% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
118.4 Fantasy
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.0% · the book's price implies 73.5% · gap +0.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Fantasy74.0%61.9%73.5%1.61+0.5%

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AI Analysis

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Nick Daicos (Collingwood) Over 104.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Nick Daicos. The young gun from Collingwood is set to hit the MCG on Friday to clash with the Western Bulldogs - an away game that's got us buzzing. Daicos has been making waves with his fantasy point prowess, averaging a solid 118.4 points per game. Now, the bookies have set the line at 104.5 for his Fantasy Points Over bet. With a model edge of 0.5% pointing in our favor, the odds are looking sweet at 1.36 (or -277.78 in American speak). Daicos is on a roll, and against the Bulldogs, a team that can leak points, he's poised to snag a bag full of points. So, if you're backing Daicos to light up the field and rack up those fantasy points, the data is right there with you. Stick with the rising star for some serious fantasy firepower this Friday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Nick Daicos averaged 30.7 disposals, 0.9 goals and 3.0 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

30.7
Disposals
0.9
Goals
3.0
Marks
3.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Nick Daicos recorded 40 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne402111
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions25265
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans25004
3 Aug 24Carlton28106
28 Jul 24Richmond42062
20 Jul 24Hawthorn24115
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats32012
5 Jul 24Essendon31023
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS32243
16 Jun 24North Melbourne29202
Quick answers:How many disposals does Nick Daicos average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Fantasy 104.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 1.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 2.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Nick Daicos (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Daicos is Over 104.5 on Fantasy. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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