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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Daicos is Over 30.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +0.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
AFL

Nick Daicos

Collingwood

+0.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 30.5 -238 (1.42)
+0.4% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
70.8%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+0.4%
Predicted Value
33.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.8%70.4%1.41+0.4%

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AI Analysis

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Nick Daicos (Collingwood) Over 30.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to pinpointing a player whose on-field presence can't be ignored, Nick Daicos from Collingwood Magpies stands out like a beacon in the footy world. Daicos has been a midfield maestro, consistently racking up disposals with surgical precision. Over his last five home games, he's been a disposal-gathering machine, averaging a whopping 35 possessions. Facing Carlton at the hallowed MCG, where he feels right at home, Daicos is primed to dominate once again. His recent form against this opponent has seen him notch up an average of 32.4 disposals. With a model prediction of 33.2 touches, the Over 30.5 disposals for Daicos is not just a bet; it's a strategic move grounded in his recent stellar performances. Expect Daicos to command the field, find space, and split the middle with his kicks en route to surpassing that line effortlessly.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
30.8avg disposals recent
Season best42
Disposals last 10avg 30.8 · hi 42 · lo 24
29323132244228252540

Nick Daicos has a disposals high of 42 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
2200101022

Nick Daicos has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 30.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 29.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 28.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending
10 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Nick Daicos (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Daicos is Over 30.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.4% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies on Saturday 18 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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