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AFL

Nick Daicos

Collingwood

Value call

Nick Daicos (Collingwood) has one live pick today: over 2.5 marks that pays $163 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
4.4 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 64.7% · before adjusting for past results 77.2% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap +3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 7:40 PM AEST
Nick Daicos
over 2.5 marks
Marks Over 2.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
Value call
HIGHWins about 65 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.30 Odds-159
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Daicos is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 65%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 7:58PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks77.2%64.7%61.3%1.55+15.8%

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AI Analysis

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Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies: Nick Daicos Over 2.5 Marks (-159)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

At the MCG, Nick Daicos has been showing some solid form lately. In his last ten games, he's grabbed between 1 and 6 marks, with a typical night being around 2.5. Given that the numbers are leaning strongly towards him getting more than 2.5 marks in this matchup, it feels like a good spot for him to shine. The Western Bulldogs have been struggling a bit, allowing more scores than they make. While Collingwood has also had some ups and downs, Daicos has the chance to step up in this game. The biggest risk is that he can be inconsistent, with some games showing low numbers. Still, the odds are in his favor for this one, and it could be a fun bet to watch unfold.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Nick Daicos averaged 30.7 disposals, 0.9 goals and 3.0 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

30.7
Disposals
0.9
Goals
3.0
Marks
3.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Nick Daicos recorded 40 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne402111
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions25265
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans25004
3 Aug 24Carlton28106
28 Jul 24Richmond42062
20 Jul 24Hawthorn24115
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats32012
5 Jul 24Essendon31023
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS32243
16 Jun 24North Melbourne29202
Quick answers:How many disposals does Nick Daicos average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 2.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 1.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Fantasy 104.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nick Daicos (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Daicos is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.8% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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