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AFL

Nick Daicos

Collingwood

+11.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 30.5 -114 (1.88)
+11.2% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 8 Mar, 8:20AM
Model Probability
64.4%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+11.2%
Predicted Value
28.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Nick Daicos (Collingwood) Under 30.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Nick Daicos hitting the under on 30.5 disposals against St Kilda, the numbers paint a clear picture. Over his last five away games, he's averaged 29 disposals, just under the line. His recent form shows consistency, but not quite enough to comfortably clear the 30.5 mark. While his contested possessions and kicks have been solid, his turnover rate of 5 per game could hinder his total disposals. Facing St Kilda, who have kept him to an average of 22 disposals in their previous encounters, further strengthens the under bet. Daicos is a gun player, but this matchup suggests he may fall just short of the 30.5 disposals mark this time around at the hallowed MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 56.0% (28/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Mar 26 Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 30.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 24.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 24.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending

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