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AFL

Roan Steele

Collingwood

Value call

Roan Steele (Collingwood) has one live pick today: over 12.5 disposals that pays $142 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
15.6 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.9% · before adjusting for past results 72.6% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap -16.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 7:40 PM AEST
Roan Steele
over 12.5 disposals
Disposals Over 12.5 -238 (1.42) · $100→$142
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.20 Odds-238
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Roan Steele is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 70%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:01PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.6%53.9%70.4%1.86+2.2%

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AI Analysis

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Roan Steele (Collingwood) Over 12.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Roan Steele is set to make waves as Collingwood faces off against the Western Bulldogs at the iconic MCG. His recent form is nothing short of impressive, averaging 17 disposals in his last five away games. With an exceptional 66.3% disposal efficiency and 10 kicks per game, Steele is a pivotal playmaker known for his ability to pierce through opposition defenses. Against the Bulldogs, he has maintained an average of 21 disposals in their last encounters, showcasing his consistency in stepping up to the challenge. With a current hit streak of 8 away games and 3 overall, Steele is in prime form to surpass the 12.5 disposal line set by the bookies. Expect Steele to dominate the midfield and snag a plethora of possessions to lead Collingwood to victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Roan Steele - AFL Disposals market.

MarksSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Roan Steele - AFL Marks market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 12.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 2.5 Over -313 ✗ MISS
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 11.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Roan Steele (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Roan Steele is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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