Jack Crisp (Collingwood) Under 22.5 Disposals (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking at the numbers, Jack Crisp is set to face the Carlton Blues away at the MCG. While Crisp has been a solid performer in recent games, boasting an average of 21.6 disposals in his last five away matches, he's fallen short of the 22.5 line more often than not. His recent form shows a slight dip in disposals compared to his season average, indicating potential fatigue or tactical adjustments by opponents.
Additionally, his disposalefficiency has hovered around 63.6% away from home, suggesting he may not be as clinical under pressure. Facing a solid Carlton side, Crisp might find it challenging to hit his disposal targets, especially given his recent turnover average of 5.4 per game. With an implied probability of 52.6% for him to go under 22.5 disposals, the data points towards a smart play on the under in this market.