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AFL

Jordan De Goey

Collingwood

+17.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 18.5 +100 (2.00)
+17.1% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 8 Mar, 8:20AM
Model Probability
67.1%
Implied Probability
50.0%
Model Edge
+17.1%
Predicted Value
16.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) Under 18.5 Disposals (+100)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Jordan De Goey's recent form, it's clear he's been a pivotal cog in the Collingwood machine. However, as the Magpies travel to face St Kilda at the hallowed MCG, De Goey's disposals have been hovering around the 15.8 mark over his last five away games. While he's a genuine game-changer, his average of 15.8 disposals falls slightly short of the 18.5 line set by sportsbet. St Kilda has also been historically successful in limiting his output to around 13 disposals in their previous encounters. With De Goey's recent away game stats and his historical performance against the Saints in mind, backing him to go under 18.5 disposals seems like a sound bet with a solid data-driven rationale.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (18 picks) 66.7% (12/18)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Mar 26 Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 18.5 Under +100 ✗ MISS
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending

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