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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan De Goey is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +3.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:21PM UTC
AFL

Jordan De Goey

Collingwood

+3.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -769 (1.13) · $100→$113
+3.2% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 6:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
91.7%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+3.2%
Predicted Value
22.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals91.7%88.5%1.09+3.2%

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AI Analysis

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Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) Over 15.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit his disposal mark, Jordan De Goey is as reliable as they come. De Goey has been a midfield maestro lately, averaging a whopping 25 disposals over his last five away games. His ability to find the footy in traffic, reflected in his solid contested possession and intercept numbers, sets him apart. Add in his impressive disposal efficiency at 63.1%, and you have a player who not only gets the ball but uses it effectively. Facing the West Coast Eagles, who have given up an average of 20 disposals to De Goey in their last five encounters, sets the stage for another big performance. With De Goey's current form showing a hit streak of 6 away games and a perfect 14/14 overall, he's a safe bet to eclipse the 15.5 disposal line. Trust in De Goey to continue his dominant run and make an impact in this crucial clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
21.7avg disposals recent
Season best34
Disposals last 10avg 21.7 · hi 31 · lo 12
18312723262119241612

Jordan De Goey has a disposals high of 34 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.9avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 0.9 · hi 2 · lo 0
0100220112

Jordan De Goey has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 15.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 16.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 17.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan De Goey is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.2% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 9 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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