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AFL

Jordan De Goey

Collingwood

Value call

Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $152 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
1.3 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 62.7% · before adjusting for past results 74.9% · the book's price implies 65.8% · gap -3.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 7:40 PM AEST
Jordan De Goey
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -192 (1.52) · $100→$152
Value call
HIGHWins about 63 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.20 Odds-192
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan De Goey is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 63%, the price says 66%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:06PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals74.9%62.7%65.8%1.60+9.1%

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AI Analysis

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Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies: Jordan De Goey Over 0.5 Goals (-192)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The Western Bulldogs struggle with contested ball, losing by over five possessions a game. This could give Collingwood's Jordan De Goey more chances to get involved and score. He has shown he can find the ball, with a good mix of disposals and pressure acts in recent games. Betting on him to kick at least one goal seems promising. With Collingwood scoring more points than they concede lately, there's a good chance De Goey can break through. The risk here is that he sometimes has quiet games, hitting a low of zero goals in the last ten outings. But overall, he has plenty of opportunities to make an impact.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jordan De Goey averaged 20.8 disposals, 0.8 goals and 3.8 marks per game across 13 games in 2024.

20.8
Disposals
0.8
Goals
3.8
Marks
3.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (3 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Jordan De Goey recorded 12 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
3 Aug 24Carlton12232
20 Jul 24Hawthorn16103
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats24143
5 Jul 24Essendon19055
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS21244
18 May 24Adelaide Crows26261
25 Apr 24Essendon23046
20 Apr 24Port Adelaide27057
7 Apr 24Hawthorn31167
28 Mar 24Brisbane Lions18013
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -192 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Kicks 9.5 Over -313 ✗ MISS
21 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Kicks 9.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
21 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
15 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan De Goey is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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