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The latest Bet Better model pick for Darcy Cameron is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +12.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:26PM UTC
AFL

Darcy Cameron

Collingwood

+12.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -152 (1.66) · $100→$166
+12.4% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Fri 10 Apr, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
60.2%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value
15.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.7%60.2%1.38+12.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) Over 12.5 Disposals (-152)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Darcy Cameron to go over 12.5 disposals against Fremantle at Adelaide Oval, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five home games, Cameron has been a midfield force, averaging 14.6 disposals, with a solid contested possessions average of 7.8. His recent form includes an impressive 55.4% disposal efficiency and an average of 9.4 kicks per game. Facing Fremantle in his last five matchups, he's been even more prolific, averaging 15 disposals. With an overall disposals average of 15 across all games, Cameron has shown consistency and the ability to meet or exceed the 12.5 mark. Add in his current hit rates, and it's a recipe for a solid performance. Cameron looks poised to snag plenty of possessions and help lead the Magpies to victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Darcy Cameron averaged 15.6 disposals, 0.5 goals and 4.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

15.6
Disposals
0.5
Goals
4.6
Marks
2.8
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Darcy Cameron has cleared 14.5 disposals in 70% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o14.570%
o15.570%
o17.570%
o18.560%
o20.550%
o21.550%
o23.520%
o25.520%
o26.510%
o28.50%
o29.50%
o31.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Darcy Cameron is averaging 20.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

20.2
Disp · Overall
0.2
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Darcy Cameron recorded 13 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne13253
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions15153
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans19171
3 Aug 24Carlton15062
28 Jul 24Richmond18152
20 Jul 24Hawthorn15036
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats18165
5 Jul 24Essendon10023
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS16055
16 Jun 24North Melbourne16061
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darcy Cameron is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Collingwood Magpies on Friday 10 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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