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The latest Bet Better model pick for Darcy Cameron is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +12.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
AFL

Darcy Cameron

Collingwood

+12.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -152 (1.66)
+12.4% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Fri 10 Apr, 9:40AM
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Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
60.2%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value
15.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.7%—60.2%1.38+12.4%

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AI Analysis

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Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) Over 12.5 Disposals (-152)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Darcy Cameron to go over 12.5 disposals against Fremantle at Adelaide Oval, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five home games, Cameron has been a midfield force, averaging 14.6 disposals, with a solid contested possessions average of 7.8. His recent form includes an impressive 55.4% disposal efficiency and an average of 9.4 kicks per game. Facing Fremantle in his last five matchups, he's been even more prolific, averaging 15 disposals. With an overall disposals average of 15 across all games, Cameron has shown consistency and the ability to meet or exceed the 12.5 mark. Add in his current hit rates, and it's a recipe for a solid performance. Cameron looks poised to snag plenty of possessions and help lead the Magpies to victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
15.5avg disposals recent
Season best24
Disposals last 10avg 15.5 · hi 19 · lo 10
16161018151815191513

Darcy Cameron has a disposals high of 24 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 12.5 Over -152 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 11.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 10.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
27 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darcy Cameron is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Collingwood Magpies on Friday 10 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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