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AFL

Ned Long

Collingwood

+0.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -256 (1.39)
+0.0% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 14 Mar, 8:35AM
Model Probability
72.0%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+0.0%
Predicted Value
17.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Ned Long (Collingwood) Over 14.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, buckle up for some Ned Long action this weekend at the iconic MCG! When you look at Ned's recent form, you can see why the smart money is on him to go over 14.5 disposals against the Adelaide Crows. In his last five home games, Ned has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 15.8 disposals per game. Plus, when facing off against the Crows, he steps it up even more, averaging 18.2 disposals. With an overall average of 17.6 disposals in his last five outings, Ned's consistency is key. His ability to find space, create plays, and cover the ground efficiently should see him snagging enough possessions to comfortably clear that 14.5 line. Ned Long – a safe bet for a solid performance on his home turf!

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 70.0% (14/20)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 14.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 14.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 19.5 Under -112 ✗ MISS
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
09 Jun 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending
09 Jun 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending

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