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AFL

Daniel McStay

Collingwood

+1.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -270 (1.37)
+1.2% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 2 Aug, 9:35AM
Model Probability
74.2%
Implied Probability
73.0%
Model Edge
+1.2%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Daniel McStay (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-270)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Daniel McStay, with an average of 1 goal in his last 5 games, faces the Brisbane Lions where he has historically scored 2 goals per game. McStay's recent form, including 1.4 shots at goal and a 33.3% goal accuracy at home, suggests he's well-positioned to snag a goal. His involvement in 4.2 scores per game and ability to mark inside 50 show he's actively contributing to Collingwood's attacking plays. Given the favorable matchup, McStay's goal-scoring potential, and the model's prediction of 1 goal, betting on McStay to score anytime at the MCG presents a solid opportunity.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 54.0% (27/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -270 ✗ MISS
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending
02 Aug 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending

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