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AFL

Daniel McStay

Collingwood

Value call

Daniel McStay (Collingwood) has one live pick today: over 2.5 marks that pays $139 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
3.9 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 62.3% · before adjusting for past results 74.5% · the book's price implies 71.9% · gap -9.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 7:40 PM AEST
Daniel McStay
over 2.5 marks
Marks Over 2.5 -256 (1.39) · $100→$139
Value call
HIGHWins about 62 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.90 Odds-256
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Daniel McStay is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 72%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 8:20PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks74.5%62.3%71.9%1.60+2.5%

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AI Analysis

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Daniel McStay (Collingwood) Over 2.5 player_marks_over (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to aerial prowess, Daniel McStay is a standout force for the Collingwood Magpies. In his last five away games, he's been averaging an impressive 4.4 marks and 1.6 marks inside 50. Facing off against the Western Bulldogs, a team where he's historically secured 5 marks per game, McStay is poised to dominate the skies at the MCG. His ability to take contested marks, averaging 1.8 in his recent away clashes, showcases his agility and strength in crucial moments. With a line set at 2.5 marks, McStay's consistent performance and history against the Bulldogs make him a compelling choice to soar above this mark. So, expect McStay to elevate his game, snag those crucial grabs, and help you secure the win in the 'Player Marks Over' market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Daniel McStay averaged 9.8 disposals, 1.6 goals and 5.2 marks per game across 5 games in 2024.

9.8
Disposals
1.6
Goals
5.2
Marks
1.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (17 Aug 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Daniel McStay recorded 9 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions9250
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans13191
3 Aug 24Carlton8121
28 Jul 24Richmond11351
20 Jul 24Hawthorn8152
22 Sep 23GWS GIANTS5241
7 Sep 23Melbourne7242
25 Aug 23Essendon7103
18 Aug 23Brisbane Lions13241
11 Aug 23Geelong Cats13272
Quick answers:How many disposals does Daniel McStay average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 2.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Daniel McStay (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Daniel McStay is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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