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The latest Bet Better model pick for Daniel McStay is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +3.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:19PM UTC
AFL

Daniel McStay

Collingwood

+3.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+3.3% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
88.8%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+3.3%
Predicted Value
1.5 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals88.8%—85.5%1.13+3.3%

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AI Analysis

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Daniel McStay (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between Gold Coast Suns and Collingwood Magpies, Daniel McStay is a standout pick for the 'Over 0.5 Goals' player prop bet. In his last five away games, McStay has been a goal-scoring machine, averaging an impressive 1.8 goals per game. With a stellar 73.0% goal accuracy and 2.8 shots at goal on average in away games, McStay consistently poses a threat to opposition defenses. Moreover, his recent form against Gold Coast Suns has been solid, averaging 1.7 goals in their last five encounters. McStay's current hit streak of 7 away games and a remarkable 100% hit rate in the last seven away games further solidify his case for hitting the back of the net in this upcoming fixture. Betting on McStay to snag at least one goal seems like a smart move considering his scoring prowess and current form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.7avg goals recent
Season best3
Goals last 10avg 1.7 · hi 3 · lo 1
2212213112

Daniel McStay has a goals high of 3 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Daniel McStay (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Daniel McStay is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 4 July at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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