Jeremy Howe (Collingwood) Under 12.5 Disposals (-132)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jeremy Howe is likely to fall under 12.5 disposals against Brisbane. Despite a recent hit streak, his average disposals in the last 5 games at home sit at 12, aligning closely with the model's prediction of 10.5. The standard deviation of 5 indicates a relatively stable performance range. Howe's recent form shows lower contested possessions and disposals compared to historical averages, suggesting he may struggle to meet the line. With a solid edge of 8.9% and a consistent trend of falling below the 12.5 mark, betting under on Howe's disposals seems a prudent choice for this AFL matchup at the MCG.