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Model picks & player props
Collingwood Magpies
VS
West Coast Eagles

Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 5, 3:54AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

AFL
Optus Stadium, Perth
Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:10AM
3
Game Picks
7
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 37.5 (Team Total Points H1)
For Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles (AFL), model win probability 65.4%, fair odds 1.53, book price -114, model edge +12.2%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:10AM at Optus Stadium.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points H1
Over
37.5
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total Points H1Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total Points Q1Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points H1Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward West Coast Eagles on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward West Coast Eagles
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Magpies

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Eagles

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Josh Daicos Collingwood Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jack Crisp Collingwood Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jake Waterman West Coast Eagles Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jack Graham West Coast Eagles Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jordan De Goey Collingwood Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles — model preview

<p>West Coast Eagles v Collingwood Magpies, 5 August 2026. Top of the list: Josh Daicos (Collingwood) Over 20.5 Disposals. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.</p>

On Wednesday 5 August 2026, West Coast Eagles play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Josh Daicos (Collingwood) Over 20.5 Disposals, priced at -303 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Josh Daicos (Collingwood) Over 20.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, you want someone who's not just good but consistently solid. Enter Josh Daicos, the Collingwood Magpies' midfield maestro who's been a model of reliability, especially on the road. Daicos has been a midfield general in his last five away games, averaging a healthy 21.6 disposals. What's more impressive is his efficiency, clocking in at 78.8% with 12.2 kicks and 9.4 handballs per game. Facing the West Coast Eagles, a team he's already averaged 25 disposals against, Daicos is poised to shine. With his recent form showing an average of 25.8 disposals per game overall, and a hit rate of 9 out of his last 10 away games, taking the Over on Daicos' 20.5 disposals line seems like a safe bet. Back the midfield maestro to make his presence felt at Optus Stadium.

Jordan De Goey (Collingwood) Over 19.5 Disposals (-172)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to dominate the midfield, Jordan De Goey is the man to watch in the upcoming clash between Collingwood and West Coast Eagles. De Goey has been on fire lately, averaging an impressive 25 disposals in his last five away games, showcasing his ability to find space and create scoring opportunities. His recent form also includes solid numbers in kicks (14.4) and handballs (10.6), suggesting he's not only finding the ball but distributing it effectively. Facing the West Coast Eagles, De Goey has historically stepped up, averaging 20 disposals against them in his last five matchups. With his current form and history against the Eagles, De Goey looks primed to surpass the 19.5 disposal line. Backing De Goey to go over in the disposals market could be a smart play given his recent consistency and impact on the field.

Jack Crisp (Collingwood) Over 16.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Crisp is primed to shine in the upcoming clash against West Coast Eagles. His last five away games have seen him dominate the field, averaging a stellar 20.2 disposals per game, well above the set line of 16.5. Not only does Crisp boast an impressive disposal efficiency of 67.4%, but he's been a magnet for the footy with 10.2 kicks and 10 handballs on average in recent away matchups. Facing off against West Coast, he's historically elevated his game, averaging 24 disposals in their last five encounters. With a current hit streak of 7 away games and 3 overall, Crisp is in prime form to snag over 16.5 disposals, making him a solid bet to deliver in this pivotal showdown at Optus Stadium.

Jack Graham (West Coast Eagles) Over 15.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to hitting the numbers, Jack Graham is showing the kind of form that footy punters dream about. With an average of 18.4 disposals in his last five home games, he's been a midfield maestro for the Eagles. Facing Collingwood, a team he's historically dominated with an average of 26.5 disposals in their past encounters, Graham's set to feast. His recent stats don't lie – boasting solid contested possessions, precise disposal efficiency at 69.3%, and an impressive 10.2 kicks per game. Add in his hunger for intercepts and meters gained, and it's clear Graham's in prime position to rack up the possessions. So, if you're looking for a reliable bet to snag some cash, backing Graham to go over 15.5 disposals is as safe as a set shot from the goal square.

West Coast Eagles vs Collingwood Magpies: Over 19.5 team_totals_q1 (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to the West Coast Eagles facing off against the Collingwood Magpies, the stage is set for a high-scoring first quarter showdown at Optus Stadium. The Eagles have been firing on all cylinders in their recent home games, consistently racking up an average of 24.4 shots at goal and 11.2 target goals per match. With an average of 50.8 inside 50s, they have been relentless in pressuring their opponents and finding scoring opportunities. On the flip side, Collingwood has shown vulnerability defensively, conceding an average of 92.4 points in their last five away games and 83.8 points overall. This sets the scene for the Eagles to capitalize on their attacking prowess and exploit the Magpies' defensive weaknesses early on. With the Eagles' offensive firepower and the Magpies' defensive struggles, the Over 19.5 on the West Coast Eagles' team totals in the first quarter looks like a promising bet for footy punters.

West Coast Eagles vs Collingwood Magpies: Under 46.5 team_totals_h1 (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy fanatics, let's dive into this intriguing West Coast Eagles vs. Collingwood Magpies clash at Optus Stadium. The Magpies are hitting the road with some solid numbers in their kit bag. Lately, they've been locking down the opposition, restricting teams to an average of 86 points in their last five away games. Meanwhile, their offensive artillery has been firing at a respectable 90.4 points per game over the same period. On the flip side, the Eagles have been a tough nut to crack at home, allowing just 76.8 points on average in their last five fixtures at Optus Stadium. With Collingwood's efficient inside 50s and shot conversion rates, they might find it hard to hit the projected line of 46.5 in the first half. The under looks like a tantalizing bet here, laced with value and backed by recent defensive solidity and offensive efficiency stats. Time to snag a goal with the under in this one!

That is how our model reads West Coast Eagles v Collingwood Magpies. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles in the AFL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 9 August 2026 at Optus Stadium. The model has generated 3 game picks and 7 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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