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The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaac Quaynor is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +0.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 11:03AM UTC
AFL

Isaac Quaynor

Collingwood

+0.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -244 (1.41)
+0.5% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 30 Jul, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.4%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+0.5%
Predicted Value
18.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.4%—70.9%1.40+0.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Isaac Quaynor (Collingwood) Over 15.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Isaac Quaynor is primed to shine in the upcoming clash between the Collingwood Magpies and the Geelong Cats at the iconic MCG. Over his last five home games, Quaynor has been a standout performer, averaging an impressive 16.4 disposals per game. What's more, his recent form against the Cats has been stellar, with an average of 20.2 disposals per game. With a current hit streak of three games at home and a solid overall hit rate, Quaynor has been a consistent force on the field. His ability to rack up possessions, coupled with his high disposal efficiency and knack for gaining crucial metres, makes him a reliable bet to surpass the 15.5 disposals line set by sportsbet. Quaynor's form and matchup history make him a strong contender to have a standout performance in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
70%hit L10 O 16.5
17avg disposals L5
Away18.8vs West Coast Eagles13.6Season best18
O 14.580%
O 15.570%
O 16.570%
O 17.550%
O 18.550%
O 19.530%
Game log vs line (O 16.5)avg 11.6 · hi 17 · lo 4
12158179104171311

Isaac Quaynor has gone over 16.5 disposals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 17 disposals, best 18).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 15.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 15.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Isaac Quaynor (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaac Quaynor is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Collingwood Magpies on Thursday 30 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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