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The latest Bet Better model pick for Billy Frampton is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 63%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +3.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Billy Frampton

Collingwood

+3.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -149 (1.67)
+3.1% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 20 Sep, 7:15AM
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Model Probability
63.0%
Implied Probability
59.9%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
11.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals63.0%—59.9%1.59+3.1%

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AI Analysis

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Billy Frampton (Collingwood) Over 9.5 Disposals (-149)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Billy Frampton has been consistently performing well at home, averaging 9 disposals with a solid 93.0% disposal efficiency. Facing Brisbane, who he averages 6.8 disposals against, his model-predicted 11.2 disposals indicate an edge. With recent form showing an increase in contested possessions (5) and intercepts (7.2), Frampton's upward trend is promising. His current hit streak of 3 and strong hit rates further support this pick. Thus, betting on Frampton to exceed 9.5 disposals in the upcoming game at the MCG against the Brisbane Lions seems a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
6.9avg disposals recent
Season best15
Disposals last 10avg 6.9 · hi 15 · lo 4
97456715754

Billy Frampton has a disposals high of 15 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Billy Frampton (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Billy Frampton is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies on Saturday 20 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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