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The latest Bet Better model pick for Edward Allan is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 58%, implied 80%, edge +1.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 3:45AM UTC
AFL

Edward Allan

Collingwood

+1.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
+1.9% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
19.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 81.9% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap +1.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals81.9%57.7%80.0%1.73+1.9%

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AI Analysis

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Edward Allan (Collingwood) Over 14.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Edward Allan is on fire with a stellar 6-game hit streak on away games. Averaging 20.4 disposals in his last 5 away matches, he's been a midfield maestro for the Magpies. Facing the Western Bulldogs, whom he's already been averaging 16 disposals against, Allan's track record suggests he's poised to surpass the 14.5 disposals line. With a solid 68.7% disposal efficiency and a knack for gaining crucial metres, Allan's form is undeniable. His recent 12-game hit streak overall further cements his reliability. Given his consistent performance and impact on the field, backing Allan to go over 14.5 disposals seems like a smart play for this clash at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
14avg disposals recent
Season best21
Disposals last 2avg 14 · hi 21 · lo 7
721

Edward Allan has a disposals high of 21 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Edward Allan (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Edward Allan is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.9% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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