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The latest Bet Better model pick for Edward Allan is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +12.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
AFL

Edward Allan

Collingwood

+12.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -167 (1.60)
+12.3% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 27 Mar, 8:40AM
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Model Probability
74.8%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+12.3%
Predicted Value
14.8 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.8%—62.5%1.34+12.3%

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AI Analysis

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Edward Allan (Collingwood) Over 11.5 Disposals (-167)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's dive into why Edward Allan is primed to shine in the disposals department when the Collingwood Magpies take on the Greater Western Sydney Giants at Marvel Stadium. In his last five home games, Allan has been a midfield maestro, averaging a slick 15 disposals per outing. With his recent form showing a hunger for the ball, he's been racking up an average of 7.2 kicks and 7.8 handballs, showcasing his two-way ability. Not to mention his impressive metres gained average of 239, highlighting his impact on the game's territorial battle. Facing the Giants, against whom he's averaged a solid 19 disposals in their recent clashes, Allan is set to be a pivotal figure in the Magpies' engine room. With a line set at 11.5 disposals, backing Allan to go over seems like a savvy play given his recent form and historical performances against their upcoming opponents.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
14avg disposals recent
Season best21
Disposals last 2avg 14 · hi 21 · lo 7
721

Edward Allan has a disposals high of 21 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 11.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Edward Allan (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Edward Allan is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.3% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Collingwood Magpies on Friday 27 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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