Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
AFL

Caleb Daniel

North Melbourne

Value call

Caleb Daniel (North Melbourne) has one live pick today: over 24.5 disposals that pays $170 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
27.4 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.3% · the book's price implies 58.8% · gap +13.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 7:30 PM AEST
Caleb Daniel
over 24.5 disposals
Disposals Over 24.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.00 Odds-143
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Daniel is Over 24.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 59%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:47PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.3%—58.8%1.38+13.4%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Caleb Daniel (North Melbourne) Over 24.5 Disposals (-143)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable ball-winning machines, Caleb Daniel stands out like a sore thumb in the AFL landscape. As the Kangaroos roll into Marvel Stadium, Daniel's recent form paints a picture of midfield dominance. Over his last five away games, he's been a disposal magnet, averaging a hefty 24 disposals per match. His precision is a thing of beauty, boasting an 81.4% disposal efficiency to keep the Bulldogs ticking smoothly. Against the Western Bulldogs specifically, Daniel has consistently hit the 24.5 disposal mark, suggesting he thrives in these matchups. With his knack for intercepting and gaining crucial metres, it's hard to envision him falling short in this clash. Currently riding a hit streak and displaying solid form, Daniel is poised to snag over 24.5 disposals, making him a prime target for punters seeking a reliable midfield maestro to bolster their ticket.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Caleb Daniel averaged 14.0 disposals, 0.1 goals and 2.8 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

14.0
Disposals
0.1
Goals
2.8
Marks
1.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Caleb Daniel recorded 23 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn23064
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS23143
18 Aug 24North Melbourne25061
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows15021
2 Aug 24Melbourne6001
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans6020
15 Jun 24Fremantle6020
7 Jun 24Brisbane Lions15022
31 May 24Collingwood14022
23 May 24Sydney Swans20042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 24.5 Over -143 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 23.5 Over -196 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 22.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Caleb Daniel (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Daniel is Over 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.4% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 6 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.