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The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Daniel is Over 24.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +10.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 8:13AM UTC
AFL

Caleb Daniel

North Melbourne

+10.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 24.5 -164 (1.61)
+10.1% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
72.3%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+10.1%
Predicted Value
27.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.3%—62.1%1.38+10.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Caleb Daniel (North Melbourne) Over 24.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to pinpointing a player who could light up the field in the upcoming clash between the North Melbourne Kangaroos and the Melbourne Demons at Marvel Stadium, keep your eyes locked on Caleb Daniel. The diminutive ball magnet has been on a tear lately, averaging a whopping 26.2 disposals in his last five home games. With his precise disposal efficiency sitting at a stellar 90.3%, Daniel has been a linchpin in North Melbourne's midfield, racking up an impressive 17.6 kicks and 8.6 handballs per game. Given his recent form and the matchup against Melbourne, where he's notched up an average of 21 disposals in their last five encounters, backing Daniel to surpass 24.5 disposals seems like a shrewd move. Get ready to watch Daniel weave his magic and hit that over with aplomb.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Disposalsvs MelbourneO 24.5 -164+10.1% edge
25.6avg disposals L5
Home26.2vs Melbourne21.2Season best25
O 22.550%
O 23.550%
O 24.540%
O 25.530%
O 26.530%
O 27.520%
Game log vs line (O 24.5)1 / 10 hit
20141566615252323

Caleb Daniel has gone over 24.5 disposals in 4 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 25.6 disposals, best 25). Current line: Over 24.5 at -164, model edge +10.1%.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Caleb Daniel (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Daniel is Over 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 18 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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