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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Sheezel is Over 25.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
AFL

Harry Sheezel

North Melbourne

+2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 25.5 -263 (1.38)
+2.5% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
75.0%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+2.5%
Predicted Value
28.8 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.0%—72.5%1.33+2.5%

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AI Analysis

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Harry Sheezel (North Melbourne) Over 25.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Harry Sheezel's performance in recent games, the numbers paint a compelling picture for this weekend's clash between North Melbourne and the West Coast Eagles. Over his last five home games, Sheezel has been a disposal machine, averaging a whopping 31.8 disposals per game. His ability to find the footy is undeniable, with strong stats across contested possessions, kicks, handballs, and metres gained. Facing the Eagles, a team he's historically performed well against with an average of 31 disposals in their last five matchups, Sheezel is primed to continue his dominance. With a model prediction of 28.8 disposals for this game and a solid 76.8% disposal efficiency, Sheezel is poised to not just meet but exceed the 25.5 disposal line. Bet confidently on Sheezel to rack up the possessions and be a key player in this weekend's contest.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
29.7avg disposals recent
Season best38
Disposals last 10avg 29.7 · hi 36 · lo 18
30182727352935362931

Harry Sheezel has a disposals high of 38 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 25.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 24.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 23.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harry Sheezel (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Sheezel is Over 25.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 13 June at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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