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AFL

Luke Davies-Uniacke

North Melbourne

+11.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 24.5 -114 (1.88)
+11.2% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra
Sun 10 Aug, 3:40AM
Model Probability
64.4%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+11.2%
Predicted Value
22.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) Under 24.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Luke Davies-Uniacke's recent performance, especially in away games, supports betting on him to go under 24.5 disposals against GWS. Despite facing the Giants, who he averages 29 disposals against in away games, his overall disposals average stands at 20.4. With a model predicting 22.6 disposals and a 11.2% edge, his recent 26.4 average in away games is slightly inflated. Considering his turnover average of 4 and his current hit streak of 2, Davies-Uniacke may struggle to reach the higher end of his disposals range. This, combined with his lower uncontested possessions average of 13.6 in away games, makes the under 24.5 disposals a favorable bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Aug 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 24.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Jun 25 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 27.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (2/2). The latest model pick for Luke Davies-Uniacke is Under 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.2% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 10 August at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.