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The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Davies-Uniacke is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:16PM UTC
AFL

Luke Davies-Uniacke

North Melbourne

+1.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
+1.1% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks
UTAS Stadium, Launceston, TAS · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 3:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.7%
Implied Probability
73.5%
Model Edge
+1.1%
Predicted Value
23.8 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.7%—73.5%1.34+1.1%

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AI Analysis

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Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) Over 20.5 Disposals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to footy, Luke Davies-Uniacke is a name that demands attention. His recent form suggests he's ready to dominate the contest against Hawthorn. Averaging a solid 23.4 disposals in his last five away games, he's been a midfield powerhouse. With an impressive contested possessions average of 10.8 and a knack for finding space with 12.6 handballs per game, he's the linchpin of North Melbourne's ball movement. Facing Hawthorn, who he's historically performed well against with an average of 26.2 disposals in their last five encounters, the stage is set for Davies-Uniacke to shine. His disposal efficiency of 77.5% adds reliability to his game, while his ability to cover the ground with 348 meters gained on average per match showcases his impact. Backing Davies-Uniacke to surpass 20.5 disposals seems like a safe bet given his recent form and historical success against the Hawks.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
27.3avg disposals recent
Season best35
Disposals last 10avg 27.3 · hi 33 · lo 17
31173024233133283026

Luke Davies-Uniacke has a disposals high of 35 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 20.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 19.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 18.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Davies-Uniacke is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 1 August at UTAS Stadium, Launceston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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