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AFL

Luke Davies-Uniacke

North Melbourne

+11.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 24.5 -114 (1.88)
+11.2% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra
Sun 10 Aug, 3:40AM
Model Probability
64.4%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+11.2%
Predicted Value
22.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Luke Davies-Uniacke (North Melbourne) Under 24.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Luke Davies-Uniacke's recent performance, especially in away games, supports betting on him to go under 24.5 disposals against GWS. Despite facing the Giants, who he averages 29 disposals against in away games, his overall disposals average stands at 20.4. With a model predicting 22.6 disposals and a 11.2% edge, his recent 26.4 average in away games is slightly inflated. Considering his turnover average of 4 and his current hit streak of 2, Davies-Uniacke may struggle to reach the higher end of his disposals range. This, combined with his lower uncontested possessions average of 13.6 in away games, makes the under 24.5 disposals a favorable bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Aug 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 24.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Jun 25 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 27.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT

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