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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cooper Trembath is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 4:09AM UTC
AFL

Cooper Trembath

North Melbourne

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -303 (1.33)
+1.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 26 Jul, 5:15AM
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Model Probability
76.7%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals76.7%75.2%1.30+1.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Cooper Trembath (North Melbourne) Over 0.5 Goals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Cooper Trembath's recent form, it's evident he's a player in his element at Marvel Stadium. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last five home games, Trembath is not just hitting the scoreboard consistently but also showcasing a solid 66.7% goal accuracy. His involvement in the attacking plays is noteworthy, with an average of 3.8 score involvements per game, indicating his impact beyond just snagging goals. When you add his current hit streak of 1 at home and 2 overall, Trembath seems primed to split the middle against St Kilda. With the odds in our favor and his recent goal-scoring trend, backing Trembath to bag one against St Kilda looks like a smart move for this clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Goalsvs St KildaO 0.5 -303+1.5% edge
80%hit L10 O 0.5
1.4avg goals L5
Home1.2
O 0.580%
O 1.520%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Cooper Trembath has gone over 0.5 goals in 8 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1.4 goals). Current line: Over 0.5 at -303, model edge +1.5%.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Cooper Trembath (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cooper Trembath is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 26 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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