Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Paul Curtis

North Melbourne

+0.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -667 (1.15)
+0.9% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 15 Mar, 2:10AM
Model Probability
87.8%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
1.4 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Paul Curtis (North Melbourne) Over 0.5 Goals (-667)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Paul Curtis' recent form, he's been a real sharpshooter when playing at home. With an average of 2.2 goals per game over his last five home matches, he's been a key offensive threat for the Kangaroos. What's even more impressive is his goal accuracy, sitting at a solid 62.0% in those games. Curtis isn't just a finisher; he's also involved in the build-up play, averaging 5.4 score involvements per game. Facing Port Adelaide, against whom he's been averaging 0.7 goals per game, he's primed to snag one and get the home crowd roaring. The numbers suggest a high likelihood of Curtis splitting the middle at least once, making the Over 0.5 goals prop on him a tantalizing bet for this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
03 Aug 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 25 Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans Goals Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Paul Curtis (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Paul Curtis is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 15 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.