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AFL

Paul Curtis

North Melbourne

+2.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+2.4% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sat 11 Apr, 2:35AM
Model Probability
87.8%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+2.4%
Predicted Value
1.4 Goals

AI Analysis

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Paul Curtis (North Melbourne) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Paul Curtis' recent form, it's clear he's been a scoring machine, especially on his home turf at Barossa Park. Over his last five games, he's been averaging a solid 2.6 goals per game, showcasing his sharp goal accuracy at 56.0%. With an average of 4.6 shots at goal and 3.2 marks inside 50, Curtis is a consistent threat in the forward line. His involvement in scoring plays has been impressive, averaging 6 score involvements per game. Facing the Brisbane Lions, against whom he's averaged 1 goal in their last five encounters, Curtis seems poised to continue his scoring streak. With a current hit streak of 6 games and the model predicting him to score 1.4 goals, taking the Over 0.5 goals for Paul Curtis seems like a smart bet for this showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
03 Aug 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 25 Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals Pending

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About This Player

Paul Curtis (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Paul Curtis is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 11 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.