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AFL

Paul Curtis

North Melbourne

+0.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -667 (1.15)
+0.9% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 15 Mar, 2:10AM
Model Probability
87.8%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
1.4 Goals

AI Analysis

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Paul Curtis (North Melbourne) Over 0.5 Goals (-667)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Paul Curtis' recent form, he's been a real sharpshooter when playing at home. With an average of 2.2 goals per game over his last five home matches, he's been a key offensive threat for the Kangaroos. What's even more impressive is his goal accuracy, sitting at a solid 62.0% in those games. Curtis isn't just a finisher; he's also involved in the build-up play, averaging 5.4 score involvements per game. Facing Port Adelaide, against whom he's been averaging 0.7 goals per game, he's primed to snag one and get the home crowd roaring. The numbers suggest a high likelihood of Curtis splitting the middle at least once, making the Over 0.5 goals prop on him a tantalizing bet for this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 74.0% (37/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals Pending
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals Pending
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals Pending

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