MODELS ONLINE / DATA PROVIDER · NOT A BOOKMAKER / EVERY PICK TIMESTAMPED & GRADED / 12 LEAGUES MODELLED
Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
Log in
AFL

Nick Larkey

North Melbourne

+12.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -182 (1.55)
+12.8% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sat 11 Apr, 2:35AM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.3%
Implied Probability
64.5%
Model Edge
+12.8%
Predicted Value
2.1 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Nick Larkey (North Melbourne) Over 1.5 Goals (-182)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag goals, Nick Larkey of the North Melbourne Kangaroos is as reliable as they come. His recent form at home has been nothing short of stellar, averaging an impressive 2.8 goals per game over the last five matches. Larkey's sharpshooting is evident, boasting a goal accuracy of 71.7% at Barossa Park. With an average of 3.2 shots at goal per game, he's not afraid to take his chances when they present themselves. Additionally, his strong presence inside 50, averaging 1.6 marks in that zone, showcases his ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Facing the Brisbane Lions, against whom he has averaged 2 goals in their recent home matchups, Larkey is primed to continue his scoring streak. With a line set at 1.5 goals, backing Larkey to go over is a smart play given his current form and impressive hit rates.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 1.5 Over -182 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Goals 1.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Nick Larkey (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Nick Larkey is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.8% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 11 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.