Nick Larkey (North Melbourne) Over 1.5 Goals (-159)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Nick Larkey has been an absolute scoring machine lately, with a blistering average of 2.8 goals in his last 5 home games. His accuracy is top-notch at 71.7%, making him a reliable goalkicker. In his recent matchups against Brisbane, he's been consistently bagging 2 goals per game, showcasing his prowess against this opponent. With an overall hit rate of 7 goals in his last 7 games and a current streak of 4 successful outings at home, Larkey is in red-hot form. His ability to impact the scoresheet is further highlighted by his average of 5.4 score involvements in his recent home performances. The model's prediction of 2.1 goals for Larkey gives us a solid edge and a high implied probability of 61.3%. Considering his recent form and historical success against Brisbane, backing Larkey to snag Over 1.5 goals is a smart play for this upcoming clash at Barossa Park.