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AFL

Dylan Stephens

North Melbourne

+3.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -227 (1.44)
+3.1% Edge
Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 26 Jul, 9:35AM
Model Probability
72.5%
Implied Probability
69.4%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
17.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Dylan Stephens (North Melbourne) Over 14.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Dylan Stephens is poised to surpass his 14.5 disposals line against Geelong Cats at Marvel Stadium. With a solid model prediction of 17.5 disposals and a 3.1% edge, Stephens has been consistent, averaging 21.4 disposals in his last 5 home games. Additionally, his L5 home game stats show strengths in kicks (12) and metres gained (355.6), indicating his involvement in North Melbourne's midfield. Facing Geelong, he has historically performed well, averaging 19 disposals in their last 5 matchups. Stephens' overall disposals average of 13 also supports his ability to hit this mark. With his current hit rate and the home advantage, Stephens is primed to contribute significantly, making the over 14.5 disposals bet a promising choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 84.0% (42/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Jul 25 Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 14.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 25 Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 14.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 25 Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 14.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 25 Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals Pending
19 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
19 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending

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