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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dylan Stephens is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 76%, implied 75%, edge +0.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:34PM UTC
AFL

Dylan Stephens

North Melbourne

+0.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+0.8% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
19.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.0% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap +0.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.0%75.2%1.32+0.8%

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AI Analysis

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Dylan Stephens (North Melbourne) Over 15.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Dylan Stephens and hitting the Over on his disposals line, the numbers are painting a promising picture. In his last five away games, he's been a workhorse, averaging a solid 17.2 disposals, comfortably surpassing that 15.5 line we're eyeing. Plus, his disposalefficiency sits at a respectable 75.8%, ensuring he's making those possessions count. Facing the Western Bulldogs, who he's been historically productive against, with an average of 10.5 disposals in their last five encounters, Stephens is poised to shine. With his recent consistent form, including a reliable 8 out of 9 hit rate in away games and overall, betting on him to snag over 15.5 disposals seems like a smart play for this clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Dylan Stephens averaged 12.8 disposals, 0.0 goals and 2.7 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

12.8
Disposals
0.0
Goals
2.7
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Hawthorn), Dylan Stephens recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Hawthorn14040
18 Aug 24Western Bulldogs11041
3 Aug 24Richmond7010
27 Jul 24Geelong Cats17042
21 Jul 24Carlton21051
13 Jul 24Sydney Swans20042
6 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS13040
29 Jun 24Western Bulldogs4010
22 Jun 24Melbourne14030
27 Apr 24Adelaide Crows10030
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Dylan Stephens (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dylan Stephens is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.8% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 6 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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