Jy Simpkin (North Melbourne) Under 22.5 Disposals (-116)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking at Jy Simpkin's recent form on the road, his average disposals over the last five away games sits at a respectable 21.4. However, facing Hawthorn at University of Tasmania Stadium, he's historically had a tougher time, with his average disposals dropping slightly to 20.2 when playing against them away. While he's been solid overall, his numbers against this opponent suggest he might struggle to hit the Over 22.5 disposals mark. Simpkin's ability to find space and impact the game is evident, but the data hints that this matchup could see him fall just short of the line. Considering his recent performance against Hawthorn, taking the Under on Simpkin's disposals could be a smart play this Saturday.