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The latest Bet Better model pick for Aidan Corr is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +6.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 6:10AM UTC
AFL

Aidan Corr

North Melbourne

+6.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
+6.2% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.8%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+6.2%
Predicted Value
13.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.8%—66.7%1.37+6.2%

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AI Analysis

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Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 10.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When looking at Aidan Corr's recent form, it's clear he's been a pivotal figure in North Melbourne's defensive setup. In his last five home games, Corr has been a magnet for the ball, averaging a solid 9.8 disposals. Against Richmond specifically, he steps up even more, boasting an average of 16.5 disposals in their encounters. With a steady hand in intercepting plays (3 per game) and efficient disposal rates (69.8%), Corr is poised to not just meet but exceed the modest line of 10.5 disposals set by the bookies. Given his recent consistency and historical performance against the Tigers, backing Aidan Corr to go over 10.5 disposals seems like a smart play for this showdown at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Aidan Corr averaged 12.6 disposals, 0.0 goals and 4.5 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

12.6
Disposals
0.0
Goals
4.5
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Hawthorn), Aidan Corr recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Hawthorn9051
18 Aug 24Western Bulldogs12040
10 Aug 24West Coast Eagles7032
3 Aug 24Richmond230131
27 Jul 24Geelong Cats11051
21 Jul 24Carlton6031
13 Jul 24Sydney Swans15050
6 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS15032
29 Jun 24Western Bulldogs15041
22 Jun 24Melbourne12082
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 10.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 9.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aidan Corr is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.2% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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