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The latest Bet Better model pick for Aidan Corr is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +6.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:45PM UTC
AFL

Aidan Corr

North Melbourne

+6.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -200 (1.50)
+6.2% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
72.8%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+6.2%
Predicted Value
13.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.8%—66.7%1.37+6.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) Over 10.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When looking at Aidan Corr's recent form, it's clear he's been a pivotal figure in North Melbourne's defensive setup. In his last five home games, Corr has been a magnet for the ball, averaging a solid 9.8 disposals. Against Richmond specifically, he steps up even more, boasting an average of 16.5 disposals in their encounters. With a steady hand in intercepting plays (3 per game) and efficient disposal rates (69.8%), Corr is poised to not just meet but exceed the modest line of 10.5 disposals set by the bookies. Given his recent consistency and historical performance against the Tigers, backing Aidan Corr to go over 10.5 disposals seems like a smart play for this showdown at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
13.2avg disposals L5
Home11.4vs St Kilda18Season best23
O 11.570%
O 12.560%
O 13.530%
O 14.520%
O 15.520%
O 16.520%
Game log vs line (O 13.5)avg 12.5 · hi 23 · lo 6
12151515611237129

Aidan Corr has gone over 13.5 disposals in 3 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 13.2 disposals, best 23).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 10.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 9.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 10.5 Over -135 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Aidan Corr (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aidan Corr is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.2% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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