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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Cincinnati Reds

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 7, 1:14AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Thu 20 Aug 2026, 4:40PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St. Louis Cardinals -0.5 Spread - 1st 5 Innings +120

The model graded 70 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $220 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 20 Aug 2026, 4:40PM at Great American Ball Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.5%
The price says43.6%
Best price+120
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -0.5 Lean50% chance +120
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot36% chance
Total Runs Long-shot22% chance
Spread Long-shot27% chance
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Lean47% chance
Spread Long-shot25% chance
Total Runs Lean51% chance
Total Runs Long-shot37% chance
Spread Long-shot16% chance
Batter - Walks × 11 props Highup to 100%
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 94%
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 87%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 2 props Highup to 90%
Batter - Runs Scored × 5 props Highup to 85%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds last met on Thu 20 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
St. Louis Cardinals -0.5 · $100 returned $220

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 40 of 116 right (mlb batter rbis overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Dylan Crews Over 0.5
Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $342
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread - 1st 5 Innings
St. Louis Cardinals
-0.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Kyle Leahy SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes 3BOut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut

Probable pitcher

Brady Singer SP
Availability updated Sep 6, 7:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
JJ Wetherholt Batter - Walks
Nathan Church Batter - Hits
Brady Singer CIN Pitcher - Strikeouts
Michael McGreevy STL Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Sal Stewart Batter - Runs Scored

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L52-3

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 2-3, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L52-3

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 2-3, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
2.3runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L52-3

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.2 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 3 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 3 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3MILHome
L7–10MILHome
W7–3SDHome
W4–3SDHome
L0–5SDHome
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L7–10COLAway
W7–6COLAway
L2–3LADAway
W8–6LADAway
W13–8LADAway

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 0.8 runs per game (1-4) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 1.8 (3-2); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 1.2 earned runs per game versus 0.8 for St. Louis Cardinals.

0.8
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
1.8
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game0.81.8
Hits / game2.63.0
Home runs / game0.00.4
Walks drawn / game1.80.6
Batter K / game2.81.6
Earned runs allowed / game1.20.8
Pitching K / game1.82.4
Walks allowed / game0.80.8
L5 record1-43-2

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 4, St. Louis Cardinals won 6.

DateCincinnati RedsSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Aug 20910St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1954Cincinnati Reds
Aug 1803St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1765Cincinnati Reds
Aug 1712St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 2653Cincinnati Reds
Jul 2542Cincinnati Reds
Jul 2507St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 735St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 6310St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3BOUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Our St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds prediction for August 21, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 21, 2026 our model has run St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Michael Toglia Under 0.5 RBIs (-312), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
20 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -0.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Moneyline St. Louis Cardinals ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -3.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 2.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 1.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 0.5 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -2.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Reds, or as Reds vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Thursday 20 August 2026 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 49 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 25–24 across the last 49 meetings · these games average 9.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
20 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds9–10St. Louis Cardinals
19 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds5–4Cincinnati Reds
18 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds0–3St. Louis Cardinals
17 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds6–5Cincinnati Reds
26 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals3–5Cincinnati Reds
25 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals7–0St. Louis Cardinals
24 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals2–4Cincinnati Reds
7 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals5–3St. Louis Cardinals
6 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals10–3St. Louis Cardinals
5 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals10–3St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 49 meetings on file.

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