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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 25, 11:57AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Outdoor
Wed 6 Aug 2025, 8:10PM
1
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Los Angeles Dodgers (Moneyline)
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB), model win probability 88.4%, fair odds 1.13, book price -217, model edge +19.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 6 Aug 2025, 8:10PM at Dodger Stadium.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Ramon Urias 3BOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut
  • JoJo Romero RPOut

Probable pitcher

Dustin May SP

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Tyler Glasnow SPOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Blake Snell SPOut
  • Will Smith COut
  • Enrique Hernandez 1BOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut

Probable pitcher

Roki Sasaki SP
Availability updated Jul 25, 12:15AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles DodgersNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF6.0L5 RA3.6Home L54-1vs St. Louis Cardinals L55-0

Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF6.0L5 RA3.6Home L54-1vs St. Louis Cardinals L55-0ATS4-6

Los Angeles Dodgers spread form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Los Angeles Dodgers total runs form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Dodgers team totalNo line posted
4.1implied team total
L5 RF6.0L5 RA3.6Home L54-1vs St. Louis Cardinals L55-0

Los Angeles Dodgers team total runs form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 4.4 runs per game (4-1) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 4.2 (1-4); Los Angeles Dodgers pitchers are allowing 3.6 earned runs per game versus 4.2 for St. Louis Cardinals.

4.4
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
4.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesLos Angeles DodgersSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game4.44.2
Hits / game5.86.8
Home runs / game1.20.6
Walks drawn / game3.23.2
Batter K / game7.87.4
Earned runs allowed / game3.64.2
Pitching K / game9.85.8
Walks allowed / game1.43.6
L5 record4-11-4

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers — model preview

<p>Winning baseball bets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Victor Scott II. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals stats and odds.</p>

Victor Scott II (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Victor Scott II in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a favorable choice based on his recent performance data. Scott's overall and away game stolen base average for the last five games is only 0.2, well below the 0.5 bet line. Moreover, when facing the Dodgers, Scott has not managed a single stolen base in the last five encounters. His current hit streak, both overall and away, is also only at 1, indicating a lack of momentum. Additionally, his average caught stealing rate is zero, suggesting he is not taking risks on the bases. These statistics collectively imply a low probability of Scott stealing a base in the upcoming game against the Dodgers, making the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

Matthew Liberatore (STL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-455)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Matthew Liberatore shows a consistent performance in pitching strikeouts both overall and when playing away. His last five overall games have an average of 5.2 strikeouts, which is significantly above the bet line of 2.5. Even when playing away, his average is 3.2, still above the line. His current hit streaks, both overall (4) and away (2), further demonstrate his consistent performance. Although his average strikeouts against the Dodgers is lower (1.4), it's important to note that this is based on a smaller sample size and lower innings pitched (1.2). Given his overall performance and current form, betting over 2.5 on Liberatore's strikeouts is a sound choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 6 August 2025 at Dodger Stadium. The model has generated 1 game pick for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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