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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 4, 9:09AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Outdoor
Fri 4 Sep 2026, 2:10AM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 7.5 Total Runs -118

The model graded 20 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $185 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 4 Sep 2026, 2:10AM at Dodger Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win69.1%
The price says54.1%
Best price-118
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 7.5 High69% chance -118
Total Runs Lean55% chance
Total Runs Lean51% chance
Total Runs Lean46% chance
Total Runs High65% chance
Total Runs High60% chance
Moneyline Lean41% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Lean44% chance
Total Runs High84% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 9.5 · $100 returned $730

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 71 of 102 right (mlb batter hits overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 4
Alika Williams Over 0.5
Athletics @ Seattle Mariners
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $196
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
9
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line

Best price right now

Sportsbet
on Los Angeles Dodgers
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Closing line

Snapshot logged
We store the closing number to grade every pick's CLV.
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Andre Pallante SPOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Quinn Mathews SP

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Shohei Ohtani DHDay-to-day
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Roki Sasaki SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tarik Skubal SP
Availability updated Sep 4, 2:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles DodgersNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF0.4L5 RA1.0Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2Free board13-11

Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline form: last five 1-4, 0.4 runs/gm.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF0.4L5 RA1.0Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers spread form: last five 1-4, 0.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Los Angeles Dodgers total runs form: last five 1-4, 0.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Dodgers team totalNo line posted
0.6runs we expect
L5 RF0.4L5 RA1.0Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers team total runs form: last five 1-4, 0.4 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent results

Los Angeles Dodgers have won 2 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 3 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–8STLHome
L8–13STLHome
W6–1DETAway
L1–2DETAway
W2–1DETAway
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–6LADAway
W13–8LADAway
L4–5PITHome
W4–1PITHome
L2–6PITHome

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 1.0 runs per game (2-3) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 2.6 (3-2); Los Angeles Dodgers pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 1.4 for St. Louis Cardinals.

1.0
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
2.6
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesLos Angeles DodgersSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game1.02.6
Hits / game2.23.2
Home runs / game0.20.6
Walks drawn / game1.40.6
Batter K / game2.01.8
Earned runs allowed / game0.81.4
Pitching K / game1.82.2
Walks allowed / game0.80.8
L5 record2-33-2

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Los Angeles Dodgers won 1, St. Louis Cardinals won 4.

DateLos Angeles DodgersSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Sep 368St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 2813St. Louis Cardinals
May 341Los Angeles Dodgers
May 227St. Louis Cardinals
May 223St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Shohei Ohtani DHDAY-TO-DAY
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Eric Lauer SPOUT
Ben Casparius RPOUT
Kris Bubic SPOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Masyn Winn SSOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Andre Pallante SPOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers — model preview

Our St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers prediction for September 4, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 4, 2026 our model has run St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +3.5 (-238), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
04 Sep 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +2.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +3 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +3.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +2 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +4 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +4.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -0.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 0.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Dodgers, or as Dodgers vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Friday 4 September 2026 at Dodger Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 26 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 14–12 across the last 26 meetings · these games average 10.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers6–8St. Louis Cardinals
2 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers8–13St. Louis Cardinals
1 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers8–13St. Louis Cardinals
3 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals1–4Los Angeles Dodgers
2 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals3–2St. Louis Cardinals
1 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals7–2St. Louis Cardinals
6 Aug 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–5St. Louis Cardinals
5 Aug 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers12–6Los Angeles Dodgers
4 Aug 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–3St. Louis Cardinals
8 Jun 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals3–7Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 26 meetings on file.

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