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Model picks & player props
Arizona Diamondbacks
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 14, 4:26PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Thu 23 Jul 2026, 9:15PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
100.0%
Historical Hit Rate
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Arizona Diamondbacks -3 (Spread)
The model graded 20 markets for Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $451 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 100.0% across 25 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 36.2%, fair odds 2.76, book price +351, model edge +14.1%. Tip-off Thu 23 Jul 2026, 9:15PM at Busch Stadium.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Arizona Diamondbacks -3 · $100 returned $451

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 643 of 1,242 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 14
Under 7.5
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $212
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks
-2
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Blake Walston SPOut
  • Ryan Thompson RPOut
  • Jordan Lawlar LFOut
  • Justin Martinez RPOut
  • Zac Gallen SPOut
  • Corbin Burnes SPOut
  • Ryne Nelson SPOut
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LFOut
  • Drey Jameson RPOut
  • A.J. Puk RPOut
  • Tommy Troy LFOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Ramon Urias 3BOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut
Availability updated Aug 13, 8:56PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Arizona Diamondbacks L52-3Free board8-8

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 5-0, 2.8 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Arizona Diamondbacks L52-3

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 5-0, 2.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona DiamondbacksNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
1.5runs we expect
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Arizona Diamondbacks L52-3

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.8 runs/gm.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 4 of their last 5 games; Arizona Diamondbacks have won 2 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–1PHIHome
W2–0PHIHome
L5–6PHIHome
W7–4COLHome
W3–2COLHome
Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3COLHome
L4–6COLHome
W9–0COLHome
L1–2LADHome
W4–2LADHome

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 2.4 runs per game (3-2) while Arizona Diamondbacks are at 6.0 (4-1); St. Louis Cardinals pitchers are allowing 2.0 earned runs per game versus 2.2 for Arizona Diamondbacks.

2.4
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
6.0
Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G
Last 5 gamesSt. Louis CardinalsArizona Diamondbacks
Runs / game2.46.0
Hits / game4.25.2
Home runs / game0.41.0
Walks drawn / game1.02.0
Batter K / game1.22.6
Earned runs allowed / game2.02.2
Pitching K / game2.81.0
Walks allowed / game1.21.4
L5 record3-24-1

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 2, Arizona Diamondbacks won 5.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsArizona DiamondbacksWinner
Jul 23610Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 1978Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 1835Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 1854St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 2449Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 2334Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 2232St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Ramon Urias 3BOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Blake Walston SPOUT
Ryan Thompson RPOUT
Jordan Lawlar LFOUT
Justin Martinez RPOUT
Zac Gallen SPOUT
Corbin Burnes SPOUT
Ryne Nelson SPOUT
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 5 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
25
Total Picks
100.0%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
23 Jul 26 Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Spread Arizona Diamondbacks -3 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Spread Arizona Diamondbacks -2.5 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Spread Arizona Diamondbacks -2 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Spread Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Spread Arizona Diamondbacks -1 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Spread Arizona Diamondbacks +1 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Spread Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 7 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Spread Arizona Diamondbacks +2.5 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 8 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Diamondbacks vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Diamondbacks. The most recent game between them was Thursday 23 July 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 100.0% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 7 meetings
Arizona Diamondbacks 5–2 across the last 7 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Jul 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals6–10Arizona Diamondbacks
19 Jul 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks8–7Arizona Diamondbacks
18 Jul 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks4–5St. Louis Cardinals
18 Jul 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–3Arizona Diamondbacks
24 Jun 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals4–9Arizona Diamondbacks
23 Jun 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals3–4Arizona Diamondbacks
22 Jun 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals3–2St. Louis Cardinals
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