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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 14, 2:40PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Indoor
Sun 15 Jun 2025, 6:10PM
13
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Milwaukee Brewers (Moneyline)
The model graded 13 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $174 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 67.0%, fair odds 1.49, book price -135, model edge +9.6%. Tip-off Sun 15 Jun 2025, 6:10PM at American Family Field.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 643 of 1,242 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 14
Under 7.5
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $212
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers
+ 12 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Milwaukee BrewersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Ramon Urias 3BOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Brice Turang 2BDay-to-day
  • Cooper Pratt SSOut
  • JoJo Romero RPOut
  • Sal Frelick RFOut
  • Joel Kuhnel RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Shane Drohan SP
Availability updated Aug 14, 2:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMilwaukee BrewersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2Free board10-8

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline form: last five 3-2, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers spread form: last five 3-2, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Milwaukee Brewers total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted
1.4runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.8 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers — what the model found

Our model graded 13 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers — 13 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

13
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 13 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 12 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent results

Milwaukee Brewers have won 2 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 4 of their last 5.

Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–11SDAway
L3–4SDAway
L2–3SDAway
W4–3MINHome
W4–3MINHome
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–1PHIHome
W2–0PHIHome
L5–6PHIHome
W7–4COLHome
W3–2COLHome

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.8 runs per game (3-2) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 4.2 (1-4); Milwaukee Brewers pitchers are allowing 2.2 earned runs per game versus 4.2 for St. Louis Cardinals.

5.8
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
4.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesMilwaukee BrewersSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game5.84.2
Hits / game8.46.8
Home runs / game0.60.6
Walks drawn / game3.83.2
Batter K / game5.67.4
Earned runs allowed / game2.24.2
Pitching K / game4.45.8
Walks allowed / game2.63.6
L5 record3-21-4

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Milwaukee Brewers won 8, St. Louis Cardinals won 2.

DateMilwaukee BrewersSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Jul 984Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 815St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 743Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 7102Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 643Milwaukee Brewers
May 2721Milwaukee Brewers
May 2660Milwaukee Brewers
May 2551Milwaukee Brewers
May 662Milwaukee Brewers
May 436St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Brice Turang 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Cooper Pratt SSOUT
JoJo Romero RPOUT
Sal Frelick RFOUT
Joel Kuhnel RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Rob Zastryzny RPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Ramon Urias 3BOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers — model preview

Winning baseball bets for Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Sal Frelick. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals stats and odds.

Sal Frelick (MIL) Under 1.5 Singles (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting choice for Sal Frelick to hit under 1.5 singles is driven by his recent performance data. Frelick's average for the last five games overall is 1 single, which is already below the line. His average drops further when playing against the Cardinals, with an average of only 0.4 singles. Furthermore, his batting average against the Cardinals is just 0.6 hits, suggesting he struggles against their pitching. Even when playing at home, his average remains at 1 single. Despite his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, the averages suggest that Frelick is more likely to hit under 1.5 singles in the upcoming game. This data-driven analysis underscores the rationale for betting on the under in this market.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Brewers, or as Brewers vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Sunday 15 June 2025 at American Family Field. The model has generated 13 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 8 meetings
Milwaukee Brewers 7–1 across the last 8 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Jul 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals4–8Milwaukee Brewers
8 Jul 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals5–1St. Louis Cardinals
7 Jul 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals2–10Milwaukee Brewers
7 Jul 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals3–4Milwaukee Brewers
6 Jul 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals3–4Milwaukee Brewers
27 May 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers2–1Milwaukee Brewers
26 May 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers6–0Milwaukee Brewers
25 May 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers5–1Milwaukee Brewers
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