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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 25, 11:56AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Indoor
Sun 15 Jun 2025, 6:10PM
13
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Milwaukee Brewers (Moneyline)
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers (MLB), model win probability 67.0%, fair odds 1.49, book price -135, model edge +9.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 15 Jun 2025, 6:10PM at American Family Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Milwaukee BrewersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Ramon Urias 3BOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut
  • JoJo Romero RPOut

Probable pitcher

Dustin May SP

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Sal Frelick RFOut
  • Brandon Lockridge LFOut
  • Joel Kuhnel RPOut
  • Kyle Harrison SPOut
  • DL Hall RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Shane Drohan SP
Availability updated Jul 25, 12:15AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMilwaukee BrewersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.8Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2Win rec7-8

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.8Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2ATS5-12

Milwaukee Brewers spread form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Milwaukee Brewers total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted
2.8implied team total
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.8Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.8 runs per game (3-2) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 4.2 (1-4); Milwaukee Brewers pitchers are allowing 2.2 earned runs per game versus 4.2 for St. Louis Cardinals.

5.8
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
4.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesMilwaukee BrewersSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game5.84.2
Hits / game8.46.8
Home runs / game0.60.6
Walks drawn / game3.83.2
Batter K / game5.67.4
Earned runs allowed / game2.24.2
Pitching K / game4.45.8
Walks allowed / game2.63.6
L5 record3-21-4

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers — model preview

<p>Winning baseball bets for Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Sal Frelick. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals stats and odds.</p>

Sal Frelick (MIL) Under 1.5 Singles (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting choice for Sal Frelick to hit under 1.5 singles is driven by his recent performance data. Frelick's average for the last five games overall is 1 single, which is already below the line. His average drops further when playing against the Cardinals, with an average of only 0.4 singles. Furthermore, his batting average against the Cardinals is just 0.6 hits, suggesting he struggles against their pitching. Even when playing at home, his average remains at 1 single. Despite his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, the averages suggest that Frelick is more likely to hit under 1.5 singles in the upcoming game. This data-driven analysis underscores the rationale for betting on the under in this market.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 15 June 2025 at American Family Field. The model has generated 13 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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