Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Model picks & player props
Washington Nationals
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 14, 2:41PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Thu 10 Jul 2025, 11:45PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Over 5.5 (Total Runs)
The model graded 20 markets for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $124 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 94.4%, fair odds 1.06, book price -417, model edge +13.7%. Tip-off Thu 10 Jul 2025, 11:45PM at Busch Stadium.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 643 of 1,242 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 14
Under 7.5
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $212
Our call on this game: 1 pick on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
6.5
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Nationals

  • James Wood RFOut
  • Richard Lovelady RPOut
  • Josiah Gray SPOut
  • Connelly Early SPOut
  • DJ Herz SPOut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut

Probable pitcher

Cade Cavalli SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Ramon Urias 3BOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut
Availability updated Aug 13, 8:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Washington Nationals L52-3Free board8-8

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 5-0, 2.8 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Washington Nationals L52-3

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 5-0, 2.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington NationalsNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
1.4runs we expect
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Washington Nationals L52-3

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.8 runs/gm.

Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 4 of their last 5 games; Washington Nationals have won 3 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–1PHIHome
W2–0PHIHome
L5–6PHIHome
W7–4COLHome
W3–2COLHome
Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–0CHCHome
L6–12CHCHome
L6–8CHCHome
W7–1CINHome
W8–2CINHome

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Ramon Urias 3BOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
James Wood RFOUT
Richard Lovelady RPOUT
Josiah Gray SPOUT
Connelly Early SPOUT
DJ Herz SPOUT
PJ Poulin RPOUT
Mitchell Parker RPOUT
Drew Millas COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Deep dive into St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals stats and odds.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals : Over 8 Total Runs (-217)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on 'Over 8' total runs in the St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals game is supported by both teams' recent scoring and defensive records. The Cardinals have averaged 4.2 runs per game in their last five games, while the Nationals have averaged 2.3, adding up to a total of 6.5. However, the Cardinals have also allowed an average of 4.4 runs in their recent games, while the Nationals have conceded 3.7. If both teams continue this trend, the total runs could easily exceed eight. Moreover, the Cardinals' batting average at home is higher than their overall average, suggesting they perform better offensively on home turf. The Nationals' away batting average is lower, but their pitching strikeout average is higher, which could lead to more scoring opportunities for the Cardinals. These factors combined make the 'Over 8' bet a solid choice.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Nationals vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Nationals. The most recent game between them was Thursday 10 July 2025 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.