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Model picks & player props
MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Washington Nationals
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals and backs Washington Nationals hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $220.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$22.00Best price+120
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win43.7%
The price says43.4%

The model graded 70 markets for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $220 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 2:16 PM ET at Busch Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Washington Nationals Lean44% chance +120
Spread Members only Lean58% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot12% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot11% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean58% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot17% chance Members
Pitcher - Outs × 2 props Highup to 73% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 2 props Highup to 78% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 76% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 7 props Leanup to 55% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Highup to 66% Members
Batter - Singles × 4 props Highup to 70% Members
Batter - Hits × 9 props Highup to 62% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 3 props Highup to 62% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Washington Nationals and St. Louis Cardinals last met on Sun 20 Sep 2026: St. Louis Cardinals won 5-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Washington Nationals
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,041+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Washington NationalsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsMoneylineThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Nationals

  • Matt Waldron RPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • Orlando Ribalta RPOut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Richard Fitts SPDay-to-day
  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Joshua Baez LFOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut
Availability updated Sep 29, 4:13PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Quinn Mathews Pitcher - Outs
Andrés Chaparro WSN Batter - Runs Scored
Quinn Mathews Pitcher - Walks
JJ Wetherholt STL Batter - Strikeouts
Quinn Mathews Pitcher - Strikeouts

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA3.2Home L51-4vs Washington Nationals L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA3.2Home L51-4vs Washington Nationals L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington NationalsNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
4.0runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA3.2Home L51-4vs Washington Nationals L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5 games; Washington Nationals have won 4 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6MILAway
L2–3MILAway
L4–8MILAway
L1–2PITAway
W5–1PITAway
Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4NYMHome
L1–7NYMHome
W7–6NYMHome
W4–2DETAway
W3–1DETAway

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 5, Washington Nationals won 5.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsWashington NationalsWinner
Sep 2053St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 1919Washington Nationals
Sep 1958Washington Nationals
Apr 861St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 776St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 669Washington Nationals
Mar 1951St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 1701Washington Nationals
Mar 1563St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 1113Washington Nationals

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Richard Fitts SPDAY-TO-DAY
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Joshua Baez LFOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
Matt Waldron RPOUT
Drew Millas COUT
Orlando Ribalta RPOUT
PJ Poulin RPOUT
Mitchell Parker RPOUT
Ken Waldichuk RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Our Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals prediction for September 21, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 21, 2026 our model has run Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Singles (-133), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Nationals vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Nationals. The most recent game between them was Sunday 20 September 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals head-to-head record

Final scores · 49 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 29–18 across the last 49 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 9.5 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 20 Sep 2026, Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals: the Cardinals won 5-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
20 Sep 2026Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals5–3St. Louis Cardinals
19 Sep 2026Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals1–9Washington Nationals
18 Sep 2026Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals1–9Washington Nationals
8 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals1–6St. Louis Cardinals
7 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals6–7St. Louis Cardinals
6 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals9–6Washington Nationals
19 Mar 2026Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals5–1St. Louis Cardinals
17 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals1–0Washington Nationals
15 Mar 2026Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals6–3St. Louis Cardinals
11 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals3–1Washington Nationals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 49 meetings on file.

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