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The latest Bet Better model pick for Quinn Mathews is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 52%, implied 48%, edge +8.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 5.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 4.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 2.50 ERlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 14, 5:00AM UTC
MLB

Quinn Mathews

MLB

+8.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 4.5 +108 (2.08) · $100→$208
+8.8% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep, 11:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 32 of 182 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
4.3 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 56.8% · the book's price implies 48.1% · gap +8.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts56.8%51.8%48.1%1.93+8.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Quinn Mathews Under 4.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (+108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The odds for Quinn Mathews getting under 4.5 strikeouts are sitting at plus money, which is a nice spot for this bet. The St. Louis Cardinals have been hitting well lately, scoring about 0.4 runs more than usual over their last 12 games. Against left-handed pitchers like Mathews, they've matched league averages with a solid batting performance. On the flip side, the San Francisco Giants have struggled against lefties this year, posting a lower than average hitting rate. While Mathews might have a decent chance to rack up some strikeouts, the Cardinals' recent form makes this a tricky match-up. Plus, both teams are pretty close in how they've been performing lately, so it could go either way.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quinn Mathews's lines for Mon 14 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Strikeouts 4.5

Quinn Mathews's pitcher strikeouts line is 4.5.

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Quinn Mathews has gone over 2.5 SO in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.540%
o3.530%
o4.520%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -169 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Walks 2.5 Under -204 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
09 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
09 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Quinn Mathews is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Quinn Mathews is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.8% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals on Monday 14 September at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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