Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ivan Herrera is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 94%, for a model edge of +1.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:35PM UTC
MLB

Ivan Herrera

STL

+1.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -1667 (1.06) · $100→$106
+1.0% Edge
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Tue 23 Sep, 1:45AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
95.4%
Implied Probability
94.3%
Model Edge
+1.0%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases95.4%—94.3%1.05+1.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Ivan Herrera (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Ivan Herrera in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice, based on his recent performance data. Herrera has not recorded a single stolen base in his last five overall games, last five away games, and last five games against the San Francisco Giants. This zero average in multiple contexts indicates a consistent lack of stolen bases. Additionally, his caught stealing (Cs) averages are also zero, suggesting he is not even attempting to steal bases. Despite a solid hit streak both overall and away, Herrera's propensity for stealing bases appears minimal. Therefore, betting under 0.5 stolen bases for Herrera is statistically justified.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg hits · L5
O 1.520%

Ivan Herrera MLB hits: averaging 0.8 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
3.2avg total bases · L5

Ivan Herrera MLB total bases: averaging 3.2 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg home runs · L5

Ivan Herrera MLB home runs: averaging 0.8 home runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
3.6avg H+R+RBI · L5
L2080%

Ivan Herrera MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 3.6 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
0.4avg walks · L5
L2060%

Ivan Herrera MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.4 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Ivan Herrera (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ivan Herrera is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants on Tuesday 23 September at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.