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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ivan Herrera is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 94%, for a model edge of +1.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB

Ivan Herrera

STL

+1.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -1667 (1.06)
+1.0% Edge
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Tue 23 Sep, 1:45AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
95.4%
Implied Probability
94.3%
Model Edge
+1.0%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases95.4%—94.3%1.05+1.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

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AI Analysis

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Ivan Herrera (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Ivan Herrera in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice, based on his recent performance data. Herrera has not recorded a single stolen base in his last five overall games, last five away games, and last five games against the San Francisco Giants. This zero average in multiple contexts indicates a consistent lack of stolen bases. Additionally, his caught stealing (Cs) averages are also zero, suggesting he is not even attempting to steal bases. Despite a solid hit streak both overall and away, Herrera's propensity for stealing bases appears minimal. Therefore, betting under 0.5 stolen bases for Herrera is statistically justified.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
0.8avg hits · L5
O 1.550%
O 2.510%

Ivan Herrera MLB hits: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.8 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
3.2avg total bases · L5
O 4.510%
O 5.510%
O 6.510%
O 7.510%

Ivan Herrera MLB total bases: averaging 3.2 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg home runs · L5

Ivan Herrera MLB home runs: averaging 0.8 home runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
3.6avg H+R+RBI · L5
L2080%

Ivan Herrera MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 3.6 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
0.4avg walks · L5
L2050%

Ivan Herrera MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.4 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ivan Herrera (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ivan Herrera is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants on Tuesday 23 September at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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