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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andre Pallante is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +26.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:39PM UTC
MLB

Andre Pallante

STL

+26.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 5.5 -127 (1.79) · $100→$179
+26.3% Edge
St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 11:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.2%
Implied Probability
55.9%
Model Edge
+26.3%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed82.2%55.9%1.22+26.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Andre Pallante (STL) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Andre Pallante (STL) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-127). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -127 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.87 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak13L2070%
O 2.5100%
O 3.580%
O 4.560%
O 5.530%
O 6.530%

Andre Pallante MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2065%
O 0.570%
O 1.570%
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%

Andre Pallante MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
2.4avg earned runs · L5
Streak2

Andre Pallante MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 2.4 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
16avg outs · L5

Andre Pallante MLB outs: averaging 16 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under +101 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Andre Pallante (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andre Pallante is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.3% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees on Wednesday 5 August at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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