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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andre Pallante is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 90%, for a model edge of +8.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
MLB

Andre Pallante

STL

+8.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -909 (1.11)
+8.5% Edge
New York Yankees @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Sat 16 Aug, 12:15AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.6%
Implied Probability
90.1%
Model Edge
+8.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed98.6%—90.1%1.01+8.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Andre Pallante (STL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Andre Pallante for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is backed by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Pallante has allowed an average of 4.8 hits overall and 3.4 hits at home. This is well above the line set at 2.5. His innings pitched (IP) averages are also supportive, with 5.2 IP overall and 6.2 IP at home in the last five games, indicating he generally stays in the game long enough for this bet to play out. Additionally, his current hit streak at home stands at 13, demonstrating a consistent pattern of allowing more than 2.5 hits. Despite his lower hits allowed average against the Yankees specifically, his overall and home performance trends make the Over 2.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2085%
O 2.580%
O 3.560%
O 4.530%
O 5.530%
O 6.510%
O 7.510%

Andre Pallante MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak2L2090%
O 2.580%
O 3.580%
O 4.550%
O 5.540%
O 6.530%

Andre Pallante MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2085%
O 0.580%
O 1.570%
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%

Andre Pallante MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
2.4avg earned runs · L5
Streak2

Andre Pallante MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 2.4 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
16avg outs · L5

Andre Pallante MLB outs: averaging 16 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Andre Pallante (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andre Pallante is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday 16 August at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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