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Jose Fermin

STL

Value call

Jose Fermin has one live pick today: over 1.5 total bases that pays $390 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
1.2 total bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 41.7% · before adjusting for past results 33.3% · the book's price implies 25.6% · gap +16.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Jose Fermin
over 1.5 total bases
Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 +290 (3.90) · $100→$390
Value call
LEANWins about 42 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$39.00 Odds+290
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Fermin is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 42%, the price says 26%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 8:28PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 144 of 248 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases33.3%41.7%25.6%2.40+7.7%

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AI Analysis

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Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals: Jose Fermin Over 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (+287)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Milwaukee Brewers are on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They are hitting well lately, and playing at home gives them a boost. On the other hand, the St. Louis Cardinals struggle with home runs at Busch Stadium, which makes it tougher for their hitters to rack up total bases. With Jose Fermin stepping up, betting on him to get over 1.5 total bases seems like a solid choice. There is a chance this could be a close game, and Fermin might not find many opportunities if the Cardinals' pitchers are on their game. Still, his recent performance shows he can capitalize on chances when they come.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quick answers:How many home runs does José Fermín hit?How many strikeouts does José Fermin average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +121 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -156 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jose Fermin (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Fermin is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday 27 September at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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