Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Pittsburgh Pirates

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 14, 5:28PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Outdoor
Mon 30 Jun 2025, 10:40PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Pittsburgh Pirates (Moneyline)
The model graded 2 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $204 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 59.6%, fair odds 1.68, book price +104, model edge +10.6%. Tip-off Mon 30 Jun 2025, 10:40PM at PNC Park.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 643 of 1,242 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 14
Under 7.5
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $212
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates
+ 1 more market
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Pittsburgh PiratesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Ramon Urias 3BOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Endy Rodriguez COut
  • Konnor Griffin SSOut
  • Oneil Cruz CFOut
  • Mitch Keller SPOut
  • Ryan O'Hearn RFOut

Probable pitcher

Braxton Ashcraft SP
Availability updated Aug 13, 5:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylinePittsburgh PiratesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.0L5 RA2.2Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline form: last five 2-3, 4.0 runs/gm.

Run LinePittsburgh Pirates run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.0L5 RA2.2Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Pittsburgh Pirates spread form: last five 2-3, 4.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Pittsburgh Pirates total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsPittsburgh Pirates team totalNo line posted
2.5runs we expect
L5 RF4.0L5 RA2.2Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Pittsburgh Pirates team total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.0 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates — recent results

Pittsburgh Pirates have won 2 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 4 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Pirates — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W13–1MIAAway
L2–8MIAAway
L0–2MIAAway
L1–11NYMHome
W9–0NYMHome
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–1PHIHome
W2–0PHIHome
L5–6PHIHome
W7–4COLHome
W3–2COLHome

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 4.2 runs per game (2-3) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 4.2 (1-4); Pittsburgh Pirates pitchers are allowing 3.6 earned runs per game versus 4.2 for St. Louis Cardinals.

4.2
Pittsburgh Pirates runs/G
4.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesPittsburgh PiratesSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game4.24.2
Hits / game10.26.8
Home runs / game1.00.6
Walks drawn / game4.23.2
Batter K / game8.87.4
Earned runs allowed / game3.64.2
Pitching K / game5.65.8
Walks allowed / game2.43.6
L5 record2-31-4

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Pittsburgh Pirates won 2, St. Louis Cardinals won 1.

DatePittsburgh PiratesSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
May 2162Pittsburgh Pirates
May 2070Pittsburgh Pirates
May 1969St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Pirates
PlayerStatus
Endy Rodriguez COUT
Konnor Griffin SSOUT
Oneil Cruz CFOUT
Mitch Keller SPOUT
Ryan O'Hearn RFOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Ramon Urias 3BOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals. Includes analysis on key players like Oneil Cruz. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals stats and odds.

Oneil Cruz (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-357)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Oneil Cruz for under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice considering his recent performance data. His average stolen bases over the last five games, both overall and at home, are only 0.4 per game. This is less than the line of 0.5, indicating that he is statistically more likely to steal fewer than 0.5 bases in the game. Furthermore, when playing against the St. Louis Cardinals, his average stolen bases drop to zero. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, do not significantly enhance his chances of stealing bases. Thus, the under bet is statistically justified based on Cruz's recent performance.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Pirates, or as Pirates vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Monday 30 June 2025 at PNC Park. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Pittsburgh Pirates 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
21 May 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals2–6Pittsburgh Pirates
20 May 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals0–7Pittsburgh Pirates
19 May 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals9–6St. Louis Cardinals
Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.