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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan Church is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100. For the numbers: model probability 4%, implied 4%, edge -0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10
Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 3, 4:14PM UTC
MLB

Nathan Church

STL

-0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
-0.2% Edge
St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Fri 4 Sep, 2:10AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
4 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 4.2% · the book's price implies 4.3% · gap -0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored4.2%—4.3%23.92-0.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals: Nathan Church Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+2200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

For Nathan Church to score more than 1.5 runs tonight, he needs to find ways to get on base and then cross home plate. The Dodgers are hitting well against left-handed pitchers this season, and Church has been a strong contributor lately, averaging 0.3 hits per game. With the Dodgers winning six of their last ten games and playing at home, the team is in a good spot to score runs. The biggest risk is how close the two teams are in hitting against lefties, with the Cardinals not far behind the Dodgers. Still, Church hits the ball hard and at the right angles more often than most, which gives him a solid chance to make things happen tonight. Betting on him might be a long shot, but sometimes those are the most exciting bets!

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Nathan Church has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.540%
o1.530%
o2.520%
o3.520%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Nathan Church hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -833 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Nathan Church (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan Church is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.2% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday 4 September at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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