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Model picks & player props
Chicago White Sox
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Oct 1, 7:44AM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals and backs St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $112.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 6:15PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
67.1%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 Spread - 1st 5 Innings -833

The model graded 70 markets for Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $112 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 67.1% across 70 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 6:15PM at Busch Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win86.1%
The price says87.2%
Best price-833
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 High86% chance -833
Total Runs Members only Long-shot6% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean42% chance Members
Spread Members only High75% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean60% chance Members
Batter - Doubles × 3 props Highup to 75% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Highup to 70% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 2 props Long-shotup to 34% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 6 props Highup to 60% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Long-shotup to 26% Members
Batter - RBIs × 3 props Leanup to 46% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 5 props Highup to 88% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 6 props Highup to 85% Members
Batter - Walks × 3 props Highup to 66% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago White Sox and St. Louis Cardinals last met on Sun 13 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 · $100 returned $112

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 131 of 227 right (mlb pitcher outs unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 30
Payton Tolle Under 17.5
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $181
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread - 1st 5 Innings
St. Louis Cardinals
-0.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago White Sox

  • Luis Castillo SPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Sean Burke SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Richard Fitts SPDay-to-day
  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Joshua Baez LFOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Tekoah Roby SPDay-to-day
  • Max Rajcic RPOut
Availability updated Sep 30, 9:00PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Nolan Gorman STL Batter - Doubles
Chase Meidroth CHW Batter - Doubles
Bryan Torres Batter - Doubles
Chase Meidroth CHW Batter - Total Bases
Chase Meidroth CHW Batter - Home Runs

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA3.2Home L51-4vs Chicago White Sox L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA3.2Home L51-4vs Chicago White Sox L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White SoxNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
3.1runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA3.2Home L51-4vs Chicago White Sox L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Chicago White Sox at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5 games; Chicago White Sox have won 4 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6MILAway
L2–3MILAway
L4–8MILAway
L1–2PITAway
W5–1PITAway
Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–3HOUAway
W6–3HOUAway
W4–2COLHome
L6–9COLHome
W6–1COLHome

Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 2, Chicago White Sox won 1.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsChicago White SoxWinner
Sep 1331St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 1273St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 1256Chicago White Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Richard Fitts SPDAY-TO-DAY
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Joshua Baez LFOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Tekoah Roby SPDAY-TO-DAY
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Luis Castillo SPOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT
Tanner Murray LFOUT
Brooks Baldwin LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Our Chicago White Sox at St. Louis Cardinals prediction for September 14, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 14, 2026 our model has run Chicago White Sox at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox: Under 10.5 Total Runs (-213), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 4 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
70
Total Picks
67.1%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
13 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +3 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 5.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 6 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -0.5 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -3 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -2.5 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 9.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +1 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 5.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Sunday 13 September 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 67.1% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 11 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 8–3 across the last 11 meetings · these games average 8.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals3–1St. Louis Cardinals
12 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals7–3St. Louis Cardinals
11 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals7–3St. Louis Cardinals
19 Jun 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox4–5St. Louis Cardinals
17 Jun 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox2–12St. Louis Cardinals
5 May 2024Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals1–5Chicago White Sox
4 May 2024Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals5–6Chicago White Sox
3 May 2024Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals3–0St. Louis Cardinals
9 Jul 2023St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox3–4St. Louis Cardinals
8 Jul 2023St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox0–3St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 11 meetings on file.

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