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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nolan Gorman is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On the Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +15.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 9:31PM UTC
MLB

Nolan Gorman

STL

+15.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
+15.6% Edge
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
72.1%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+15.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs72.1%56.5%1.39+15.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Nolan Gorman (STL) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Nolan Gorman for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market is a good choice based on his recent and overall performance data. Gorman has been consistent in his last five games, with an average of 0.8 hits and 0.8 RBIs, both overall and when playing away. This consistency is further demonstrated by his current hit streak of 3 games, which holds true for both his overall and away games. Although his performance against the White Sox is slightly lower with an average of 0.2 hits, his runs average against them is at a high of 0.8, compensating for the lower hit rate. Given these statistics, it's reasonable to expect Gorman to maintain his performance and achieve over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Nolan Gorman is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.8 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.8
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.2
Walks
1.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Nolan Gorman has gone over 1.5 total bases in 0% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.50%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Nolan Gorman is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.4 in home games, including his recent form against CIN.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.4
Hits · Home
0.2
Hits · vs CIN
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs CIN
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nolan Gorman (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nolan Gorman is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.6% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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