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Model picks & player props
Baltimore Orioles
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 17, 3:44PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Thu 27 Aug 2026, 6:15PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 0.5 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings +1280

The model graded 70 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,380 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 27 Aug 2026, 6:15PM at Busch Stadium.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win8.0%
The price says7.3%
Best price+1280
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 0.5 Long-shot8% chance +1280
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot24% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High84% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Lean55% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High71% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High92% chance
Total Runs Long-shot12% chance
Spread Long-shot24% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot8% chance
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 86%
Batter - Walks × 8 props Highup to 98%
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Leanup to 51%
Batter - Runs Scored × 2 props Highup to 64%
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 64%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Baltimore Orioles and St. Louis Cardinals last met on Thu 27 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 88 of 190 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 17
Jake Bennett Over 2.5
Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $117
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings
Under
0.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Baltimore Orioles

  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Shane Baz SPDay-to-day
  • Christian Franklin CFOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Luis Robert Jr. CFOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut

Probable pitcher

Chris Bassitt SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Joshua Baez LFDay-to-day
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Matthew Liberatore SP
Availability updated Sep 16, 11:00PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Trevor Rogers BAL Pitcher - Walks
Leody Taveras TEX Batter - Walks
JJ Wetherholt Batter - Walks
Jordan Walker Batter - Walks
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L53-2vs Baltimore Orioles L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 3-2, 4.6 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L53-2vs Baltimore Orioles L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 3-2, 4.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore OriolesNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
4.8runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L53-2vs Baltimore Orioles L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.6 runs/gm.

Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 3 of their last 5 games; Baltimore Orioles have won 3 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–1SFHome
W3–1CHWHome
W7–3CHWHome
L5–6CHWHome
L1–2SFAway
Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–1NYMAway
L1–8TORAway
L3–7TORAway
W7–4TORAway
W9–5CLEHome

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 3.2 runs per game (3-2) while Baltimore Orioles are at 0.6 (1-4); St. Louis Cardinals pitchers are allowing 2.8 earned runs per game versus 1.0 for Baltimore Orioles.

3.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
0.6
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
Last 5 gamesSt. Louis CardinalsBaltimore Orioles
Runs / game3.20.6
Hits / game3.62.2
Home runs / game0.40.4
Walks drawn / game1.60.6
Batter K / game3.00.4
Earned runs allowed / game2.81.0
Pitching K / game3.01.0
Walks allowed / game1.60.4
L5 record3-21-4

Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 3, Baltimore Orioles won 2.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsBaltimore OriolesWinner
Aug 2775St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 2678Baltimore Orioles
Aug 25113Baltimore Orioles
Mar 972St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 6102St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Joshua Baez LFDAY-TO-DAY
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Shane Baz SPDAY-TO-DAY
Christian Franklin CFOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Felix Bautista RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Our Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals prediction for August 27, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 27, 2026 our model has run Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Gunnar Henderson (BAL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-250), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
27 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -3.5 ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 0.5 ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 1.5 ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 2.5 ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Moneyline St. Louis Cardinals ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -1 ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Orioles vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Orioles. The most recent game between them was Thursday 27 August 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 15 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 11–4 across the last 15 meetings · these games average 9.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
27 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals7–5St. Louis Cardinals
26 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals7–8Baltimore Orioles
25 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals1–13Baltimore Orioles
9 Mar 2026Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals7–2St. Louis Cardinals
6 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles2–10St. Louis Cardinals
28 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles4–6St. Louis Cardinals
27 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles4–7St. Louis Cardinals
26 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles5–2Baltimore Orioles
22 May 2024Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals5–4St. Louis Cardinals
21 May 2024Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals3–1St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 15 meetings on file.

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