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The latest Bet Better model pick for Thomas Saggese is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 6 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 6%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 6
Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 5 of the last 6

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 22, 9:58AM UTC
MLB

Thomas Saggese

MLB

Thomas Saggese has one live pick today: Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 that pays $1,280 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +1180 (12.80) · $100→$1,280
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Tue 22 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 181 of 387 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
6 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 6.0% · the book's price implies 7.8% · gap -1.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored6.0%—7.8%16.72-1.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals: Thomas Saggese Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+1180)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The St. Louis Cardinals have struggled lately, winning just 3 of their last 10 games, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have been doing better with 6 wins in that same stretch. Tonight, the wind is blowing out toward the outfield at PNC Park, which can help hitters. This boost, plus the fact that Thomas Saggese is set to bat against a pitcher that might not match well with his style, makes this bet feel promising. Saggese has been getting hits at only half his usual rate lately, which is the main concern here. Still, with the way the Pirates are playing and the favorable conditions, betting on him to score over 1.5 runs could pay off big time. Just remember, this is a long shot, so it might not work out.

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Pick History & Track Record

Thomas Saggese's lines for Tue 22 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5

Thomas Saggese's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Thomas Saggese has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.517%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -200 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +163 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Thomas Saggese is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Thomas Saggese is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -1.8% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday 22 September at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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