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The latest Bet Better model pick for Corey Durdin is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 76%, for a model edge of +4.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:40PM UTC
AFL

Corey Durdin

Port Adelaide

+4.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+4.1% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
80.4%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+4.1%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals80.4%76.3%1.24+4.1%

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AI Analysis

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Corey Durdin (Port Adelaide) Over 0.5 Goals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Corey Durdin, the lively forward from Port Adelaide, is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against the Sydney Swans at the SCG. Durdin has been in scintillating form, averaging 1 goal per game over his last 5 away matches. With a sharp goal accuracy of 43.3% and an impressive 5.8 score involvements per game in away fixtures, he's consistently been a key threat inside 50. Facing the Swans, against whom he's averaged 0.3 goals in his last 5 away games, Durdin will be eager to make his mark. With a current hit streak of 2 in away games and an overall hit rate of 18/20, he's in a prime position to snag a goal and help you cash in on the Over 0.5 goals player prop bet. Back Durdin to split the middle and light up the scoreboard in this exciting encounter.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.4avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 0.4 · hi 2 · lo 0
2000010100

Corey Durdin has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS
26 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -313 ✗ MISS
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -370 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Goals Pending

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About This Player

Corey Durdin (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Corey Durdin is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.1% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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