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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Corey Durdin is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 80%, implied 76%, edge +4.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:43PM UTC
AFL

Corey Durdin

Port Adelaide

+4.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+4.1% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
80 in 100
Predicted
1.2 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 80.4% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +4.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals80.4%76.3%1.24+4.1%

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AI Analysis

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Corey Durdin (Port Adelaide) Over 0.5 Goals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Corey Durdin, the lively forward from Port Adelaide, is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against the Sydney Swans at the SCG. Durdin has been in scintillating form, averaging 1 goal per game over his last 5 away matches. With a sharp goal accuracy of 43.3% and an impressive 5.8 score involvements per game in away fixtures, he's consistently been a key threat inside 50. Facing the Swans, against whom he's averaged 0.3 goals in his last 5 away games, Durdin will be eager to make his mark. With a current hit streak of 2 in away games and an overall hit rate of 18/20, he's in a prime position to snag a goal and help you cash in on the Over 0.5 goals player prop bet. Back Durdin to split the middle and light up the scoreboard in this exciting encounter.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Corey Durdin averaged 5.9 disposals, 0.5 goals and 1.5 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

5.9
Disposals
0.5
Goals
1.5
Marks
1.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Corey Durdin recorded 4 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions4012
25 Aug 24St Kilda4032
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles14132
21 Jun 24Geelong Cats1000
9 Jun 24Essendon3110
17 May 24Sydney Swans3001
9 May 24Melbourne7013
3 May 24Collingwood7030
27 Apr 24Geelong Cats11041
20 Apr 24GWS GIANTS7242
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -370 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 0.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Goals Pending
26 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending

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About This Player

Corey Durdin (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Corey Durdin is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.1% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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