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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Corey Durdin is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 79%, for a model edge of +1.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
AFL

Corey Durdin

Port Adelaide

+1.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -370 (1.27)
+1.7% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 11 Jul, 3:15AM
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Model Probability
80.4%
Implied Probability
78.7%
Model Edge
+1.7%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals80.4%78.7%1.24+1.7%

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AI Analysis

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Corey Durdin (Port Adelaide) Over 0.5 Goals (-370)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Corey Durdin hitting the back of the net, the numbers are painting a promising picture. In his last five away games, he's been averaging 1 goal per match, showcasing his ability to find the big sticks consistently. With an impressive 46.7% goal accuracy and 2.2 shots at goal on average, Durdin is not one to shy away from taking his chances. His involvement in creating scoring opportunities is also notable, with an average of 4.6 score involvements per game. Facing St Kilda, a team where he has historically performed well, Durdin's track record suggests he's more than capable of snagging at least one goal in this matchup. With his current form and accuracy, betting on Durdin to score over 0.5 goals seems like a solid play for punters looking to back a player in form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.4avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 0.4 · hi 2 · lo 0
2000010100

Corey Durdin has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -370 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 0.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Corey Durdin (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Corey Durdin is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.7% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 11 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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