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AFL

Willem Drew

Port Adelaide

Value call

Willem Drew (Port Adelaide) has one live pick today: over 16.5 disposals that pays $164 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
19.7 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 74.0% · the book's price implies 61.0% · gap +13.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 4:15 PM AEST
Willem Drew
over 16.5 disposals
Disposals Over 16.5 -156 (1.64) · $100→$164
Value call
HIGHWins about 74 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.40 Odds-156
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Willem Drew is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 9, 12:48PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.0%—61.0%1.35+13.1%

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AI Analysis

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Willem Drew (Port Adelaide) Over 16.5 Disposals (-156)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to go over 16.5 disposals in the upcoming Sydney Swans vs. Port Adelaide Power clash, Willem Drew is the man to watch. Drew has been a midfield maestro, averaging a commanding 20.4 disposals over his last five away games, showcasing his ability to find the footy consistently. With a strong contested possessions average of 8.6 and impressive disposal efficiency at 69.7%, Drew is a reliable ball winner who can impact the game significantly. Moreover, his recent form against the Swans has been solid, with an average of 12.7 disposals in their last five encounters. With Drew's overall hit rate trending positively and his current form suggesting he's hitting his stride, the Over 16.5 disposals line looks like a smart play for this upcoming fixture. Expect Willem Drew to continue his strong run and snag a solid number of possessions in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Willem Drew averaged 19.3 disposals, 0.2 goals and 3.6 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

19.3
Disposals
0.2
Goals
3.6
Marks
6.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Willem Drew recorded 17 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Sep 24Sydney Swans17043
13 Sep 24Hawthorn18018
5 Sep 24Geelong Cats21043
25 Aug 24Fremantle12118
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows160311
10 Aug 24Melbourne16025
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans32066
26 Jul 24Carlton220312
20 Jul 24Richmond23026
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS20067
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 16.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 15.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Willem Drew (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Willem Drew is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 8 August at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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