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AFL

Zak Butters

Port Adelaide

+18.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 29.5 -112 (1.89)
+18.2% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sun 13 Jul, 6:40AM
Model Probability
71.1%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+18.2%
Predicted Value
26.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) Under 29.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Zak Butters' recent performance, especially at home, suggests he may fall short of the 29.5 disposals line. Despite averaging 27.6 disposals in his last five home games, his average against the West Coast Eagles specifically sits at 21 disposals. With a model prediction of 26.7 disposals and a solid standard deviation of 5, there's a high likelihood he won't reach the line. Additionally, his hit rates show inconsistency, making the under 29.5 disposals a favorable bet, supported by his turnovers averaging 3.6 in his last five home games, potentially limiting his disposal opportunities.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (13 picks) 46.2% (6/13)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 29.5 Under -112 ✗ MISS
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 29.5 Under -116 ✗ MISS
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 29.5 Under -125 ✗ MISS
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
21 Jun 25 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending

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