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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zak Butters is Over 22.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 89%, for a model edge of +0.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
AFL

Zak Butters

Port Adelaide

+0.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 22.5 -833 (1.12)
+0.9% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 11 Jul, 3:15AM
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Model Probability
90.1%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
28.9 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals90.1%—89.3%1.11+0.9%

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AI Analysis

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Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) Over 22.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player on disposals, Zak Butters stands out as a prime candidate for the Over 22.5 mark against St Kilda. Over his last five away games, Butters has been a midfield maestro, averaging a hefty 30.4 disposals per outing. His recent form against this very opponent has been solid too, with an average of 27.4 disposals. Butters' consistency is undeniable, boasting an impressive 71.5% disposal efficiency alongside a knack for gaining crucial meters. His current hit streak of 8 away games and a flawless 19-game streak overall further highlight his reliability. With the model predicting him to exceed 28.9 disposals, Butters seems poised to once again split the middle and deliver for punters looking to ride his hot hand.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
26.1avg disposals recent
Season best42
Disposals last 10avg 26.1 · hi 42 · lo 8
3528233030422881720

Zak Butters has a disposals high of 42 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 22.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 23.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 25.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zak Butters is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 11 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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