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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zak Butters is Over 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 90%, implied 89%, edge +0.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 2:41AM UTC
AFL

Zak Butters

Port Adelaide

+0.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 22.5 -833 (1.12) · $100→$112
+0.9% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 11 Jul, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
28.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.1% · the book's price implies 89.3% · gap +0.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals90.1%—89.3%1.11+0.9%

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AI Analysis

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Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) Over 22.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player on disposals, Zak Butters stands out as a prime candidate for the Over 22.5 mark against St Kilda. Over his last five away games, Butters has been a midfield maestro, averaging a hefty 30.4 disposals per outing. His recent form against this very opponent has been solid too, with an average of 27.4 disposals. Butters' consistency is undeniable, boasting an impressive 71.5% disposal efficiency alongside a knack for gaining crucial meters. His current hit streak of 8 away games and a flawless 19-game streak overall further highlight his reliability. With the model predicting him to exceed 28.9 disposals, Butters seems poised to once again split the middle and deliver for punters looking to ride his hot hand.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Zak Butters averaged 27.1 disposals, 0.5 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

27.1
Disposals
0.5
Goals
4.7
Marks
4.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Zak Butters recorded 20 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Sep 24Sydney Swans20052
13 Sep 24Hawthorn17018
5 Sep 24Geelong Cats8011
25 Aug 24Fremantle28023
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows42145
10 Aug 24Melbourne30153
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans30058
26 Jul 24Carlton23055
20 Jul 24Richmond28012
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS351121
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 22.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 23.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 25.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zak Butters is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 11 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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