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AFL

Joe Richards

Port Adelaide

+2.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -238 (1.42)
+2.0% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sun 22 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
72.5%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value
14.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Joe Richards (Port Adelaide) Over 11.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Joe Richards to hit Over 11.5 disposals in the upcoming clash at Adelaide Oval, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Richards has been a midfield maestro in his last five home games, averaging a solid 18.2 disposals with a pristine disposal efficiency of 63.0%. His recent form against Essendon has been even more impressive, racking up an average of 10.5 disposals in their encounters. With a current hit streak of 4 at home and 6 overall, Richards is in the form of his life. Expect him to dominate the contest, finding space to rack up possessions and drive Port Adelaide forward. This bet on Richards is more than just a hunch; it's a smart play backed by a streak of stellar performances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 11.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 10.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 11.5 Over -250 ✗ MISS
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Joe Richards (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Joe Richards is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 22 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.