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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitch Georgiades is Over 1.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +10.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
AFL

Mitch Georgiades

Port Adelaide

+10.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -345 (1.29)
+10.1% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 11 Jul, 3:15AM
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Model Probability
87.6%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+10.1%
Predicted Value
2.4 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals87.6%—77.5%1.14+10.1%

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AI Analysis

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Mitch Georgiades (Port Adelaide) Over 1.5 Goals (-345)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between St Kilda and Port Adelaide, all eyes are on Mitch Georgiades to light up Marvel Stadium. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five away games, Georgiades has been a consistent threat in front of the big sticks. His sharpshooting skills, boasting a 38.3% goal accuracy, make him a reliable finisher when the ball is in his hands. Moreover, his ability to impact the game goes beyond scoring, with an average of 6 score involvements per match showing his all-round contribution to Port Adelaide's attacks. Facing St Kilda, against whom he has an average of 1.3 goals in their recent encounters, Georgiades is primed to push past the 1.5 goal mark once again. With a model prediction of 2.4 goals and a 10.1% edge, betting on Georgiades to snag over 1.5 goals is a smart move for punters looking to capitalize on his scoring prowess.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
2.5avg goals recent
Season best5
Goals last 10avg 2.5 · hi 5 · lo 0
3053342131

Mitch Georgiades has a goals high of 5 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Goals 1.5 Over -345 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 1.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 1.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mitch Georgiades (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitch Georgiades is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 11 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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