Jase Burgoyne (Port Adelaide) Over 14.5 Disposals (-476)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jase Burgoyne is a solid pick to go over 14.5 disposals against Melbourne based on his consistent performance. With a strong home track record averaging 19.8 disposals in the last 5 home games, Burgoyne has shown excellent form with high contested possessions (5.6) and kicks (11.8) averages. His exceptional disposal efficiency (74.9%) and recent hit streaks further support this bet. Facing Melbourne, where he averages 13.5 disposals, Burgoyne is poised to exceed the line. His overall average of 20.2 disposals and current hit streaks make the Over a compelling choice, aligning with the model's prediction and providing a 2.8% edge.