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AFL

Jase Burgoyne

Port Adelaide

+2.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -476 (1.21)
+2.8% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sun 15 Jun, 5:20AM
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Model Probability
85.4%
Implied Probability
82.6%
Model Edge
+2.8%
Predicted Value
19.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jase Burgoyne (Port Adelaide) Over 14.5 Disposals (-476)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jase Burgoyne is a solid pick to go over 14.5 disposals against Melbourne based on his consistent performance. With a strong home track record averaging 19.8 disposals in the last 5 home games, Burgoyne has shown excellent form with high contested possessions (5.6) and kicks (11.8) averages. His exceptional disposal efficiency (74.9%) and recent hit streaks further support this bet. Facing Melbourne, where he averages 13.5 disposals, Burgoyne is poised to exceed the line. His overall average of 20.2 disposals and current hit streaks make the Over a compelling choice, aligning with the model's prediction and providing a 2.8% edge.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Jase Burgoyne (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jase Burgoyne is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.8% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 15 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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