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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ollie Wines is Over 22.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +11.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:06PM UTC
AFL

Ollie Wines

Port Adelaide

+11.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 22.5 -164 (1.61)
+11.8% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
73.9%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+11.8%
Predicted Value
25.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.9%—62.1%1.35+11.8%

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AI Analysis

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Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide) Over 22.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the over on disposals, Ollie Wines stands out like a beacon in the night sky. His form in away games has been nothing short of stellar, averaging a hefty 21.8 disposals over his last five outings. Against Hawthorn, he has historically found even more success, racking up an impressive 34.5 disposals on average in their previous encounters. With Wines boasting a solid contested possessions average of 9.8 and a knack for gaining valuable metres (220.4 per game), he's a prime candidate to dominate the midfield battle. His recent overall hit rate of 6 out of 8 games further cements his reliability. Expect Wines to weave through traffic, win crucial possessions, and propel your bet over the 22.5 disposal mark at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
24.8avg disposals recent
Season best33
Disposals last 10avg 24.8 · hi 32 · lo 18
21322531182631232318

Ollie Wines has a disposals high of 33 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 22.5 Over -164 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 21.5 Over -227 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 20.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ollie Wines is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.8% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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