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AFL

Ollie Wines

Port Adelaide

+17.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 27.5 -133 (1.75)
+17.7% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 9 Aug, 10:10AM
Model Probability
74.8%
Implied Probability
57.1%
Model Edge
+17.7%
Predicted Value
24.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide) Under 27.5 Disposals (-133)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ollie Wines is poised to fall under 27.5 disposals against Fremantle based on recent trends. Despite averaging 26 disposals in his last five home games, he faces a tough Fremantle side where his average drops to 26 disposals. With a recent average of 26 disposals overall, Wines is likely to struggle to exceed 27.5 against Fremantle's defense. His turnovers average of 3.4 in the last five games could further hinder his disposal count. Considering these factors alongside his recent hit rates, the model's prediction, and the implied probability of 57.1%, betting on Wines to go under 27.5 disposals presents a solid wager for this game at Adelaide Oval.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 75.0% (6/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 27.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 26.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 25.5 Under -123 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending

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