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AFL

Jason Horne-Francis

Port Adelaide

+2.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -588 (1.17)
+2.0% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 15 Mar, 2:10AM
Model Probability
87.5%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value
18.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jason Horne-Francis (Port Adelaide) Over 12.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's dive into why Jason Horne-Francis is a solid bet to go Over 12.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between Port Adelaide Power and North Melbourne Kangaroos. Horne-Francis has been a midfield maestro, averaging 21.6 disposals in his last five away games, including a solid 19.5 disposals against North Melbourne. With a current hit streak of 9 on the road and an impressive 18 out of 20 hit rate overall, he's in red-hot form. Expect him to split the middle consistently with his kicks (14.4 avg) and maintain a sharp disposal efficiency of 62.2%. His ability to cover ground (398.4 metres gained) and find space in contests (9.4 contested possessions) makes him a prime candidate to rack up possessions. Bet on Horne-Francis to shine and deliver another stellar performance in the disposals department.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 16.7% (1/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 12.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 13.5 Over -400 ✗ MISS
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 14.5 Over -286 ✗ MISS
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jason Horne-Francis (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 16.7% (1/6). The latest model pick for Jason Horne-Francis is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 15 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.