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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Darcy Byrne-Jones is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC
AFL

Darcy Byrne-Jones

Port Adelaide

+1.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -238 (1.42)
+1.3% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
71.8%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+1.3%
Predicted Value
21.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.8%70.4%1.39+1.3%

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AI Analysis

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Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port Adelaide) Over 18.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable midfield performers, Darcy Byrne-Jones of Port Adelaide Power stands out as a consistent force. Heading into this clash against Fremantle at the Adelaide Oval, Byrne-Jones has been a model of efficiency, boasting a stellar 76.1% disposal efficiency over his last five games. His recent form at home has been impressive, averaging 18.8 disposals per game, comfortably surpassing the set line of 18.5. With a knack for finding his teammates (7.2 handballs per home game) and covering ground effectively (255.2 metres gained on average), Byrne-Jones is not just a safe bet but a smart one too. Expect him to once again lead the charge in midfield, racking up the possessions and guiding Port Adelaide to a crucial home victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
11.2avg disposals recent
Season best19
Disposals last 10avg 11.2 · hi 19 · lo 5
10128513111719116

Darcy Byrne-Jones has a disposals high of 19 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
0121121020

Darcy Byrne-Jones has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 18.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 17.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 16.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darcy Byrne-Jones is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 18 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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