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The latest Bet Better model pick for Darcy Byrne-Jones is Over 1.5 on Tackles.
On Tackles, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 61%, implied 69%, edge +3.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:50PM UTC
AFL

Darcy Byrne-Jones

Port Adelaide

+3.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tackles Over 1.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
+3.4% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 2:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
2.6 Tackles
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.8% · the book's price implies 69.4% · gap +3.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tackles72.8%60.9%69.4%1.64+3.4%

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AI Analysis

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Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port Adelaide) Over 1.5 player_tackles_over (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, it's essential to delve into the numbers and find that sweet spot where stats meet opportunity. Darcy Byrne-Jones, the defensive stalwart for Port Adelaide Power, is primed to shine in tackles when they face Essendon at Marvel Stadium. Over his last five away games, Byrne-Jones has been a tackling machine, averaging 1.4 tackles per game. Against Essendon specifically, he ramps up his performance, averaging 2 tackles per away game. With the line set at a tantalizing 1.5 tackles, hitting the over seems like a prudent play, especially with Byrne-Jones' recent form and historical performance against the Bombers. When the Power hit the field, expect Byrne-Jones to be in the thick of the action, making life challenging for the Essendon forwards and snagging tackles along the way.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Darcy Byrne-Jones averaged 11.3 disposals, 1.1 goals and 2.5 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

11.3
Disposals
1.1
Goals
2.5
Marks
3.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Darcy Byrne-Jones recorded 6 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Sep 24Sydney Swans6032
13 Sep 24Hawthorn11202
5 Sep 24Geelong Cats19060
25 Aug 24Fremantle17136
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows11213
10 Aug 24Melbourne13165
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans5103
26 Jul 24Carlton8212
20 Jul 24Richmond12125
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS10023
Quick answers:How many disposals does Darcy Byrne-Jones average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Tackles 1.5 Over -227 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 24.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 16.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darcy Byrne-Jones is Over 1.5 on Tackles. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 23 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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