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Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
HOU
Yordan Alvarez has one live pick today: Batter - RBIs Over 0.5 that pays $270 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
For the numbers: our chance 27.6% · before adjusting for past results 45.5% · the book's price implies 37.0% · gap -9.4%.
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
Seattle Mariners play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Yordan Alvarez (HOU) Over 0.5 RBIs (+170). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at +170 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Yordan Alvarez's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +165 across 11 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.
Yordan Alvarez's batter home runs line is 1.5, best over price +325 across 10 books.
Yordan Alvarez's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.
Yordan Alvarez's batter hits line is 3.5.
Yordan Alvarez's batter walks line is 1.5, best over price +115 across 6 books. He has gone over it in 0 of his last 10 games.
Yordan Alvarez's batter hits line is 2.5, best over price +220 across 1 book.
Yordan Alvarez's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 1.5.
Yordan Alvarez's batter walks line is 0.5, best over price +115 across 6 books. He has gone over it in 0 of his last 10 games.
Yordan Alvarez is averaging 0.6 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Yordan Alvarez has gone over 1.5 total bases in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
Yordan Alvarez is averaging 0.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.6 in home games, including his recent form against TEX.
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Yordan Alvarez is Over 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.5% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners on Thursday 24 September at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.
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