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Yordan Alvarez

HOU

Value call

Yordan Alvarez has one live pick today: under 0.5 hits that pays $286 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
39 in 100
Predicted
0.5 hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 38.9% · before adjusting for past results 43.9% · the book's price implies 35.0% · gap +3.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Wed 30 Sep, 5:00 PM ET
Yordan Alvarez
under 0.5 hits
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +186 (2.86) · $100→$286
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 39 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$28.60 Odds+186
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Yordan Alvarez is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 39 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 39%, the price says 35%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 14, 6:14PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 143 of 246 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits43.9%38.9%35.0%2.57+8.9%

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AI Analysis

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Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox: Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+179)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tonight, we need Yordan Alvarez to get no hits against the Chicago White Sox. This is a tough matchup because the White Sox's pitching has been solid lately, and they've won seven out of their last ten games. Alvarez has been a strong hitter, but he's faced some ups and downs at home, averaging just over one hit per game. The Astros' pitching staff has also been a bit wild, walking more batters than most teams. This could help Alvarez, but it also means he might struggle to find his rhythm. With Alvarez's home run and double averages being on the lower side lately, there's a real chance he could be held hitless tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)
Quick answers:How many home runs does Yordan Alvarez hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +186 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - RBIs 0.5 Over +180 ✗ MISS
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -500 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Walks — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending

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About This Player

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Yordan Alvarez is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros on Wednesday 30 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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